HORIZON
the world every morning: sourced facts, public thresholds
Horizon

Indicators

Horizon's numerical history, from 29 August 2026 to 17 October 2026 (50 days).

50Days tracked
34 %Calm days · World
36 / 100Global risk index today
23Countries in crisis, latest day

Risk index

Today
36/100
Tension

Value: — (tap or hover a point)

What weighs today
  • Health (WHO)+10
  • Geopolitics+9
  • Cyber+7
  • Markets+4

How the index is computed: see the Risk page →

What the world is talking about

How often each major theme appears in the briefings. Pale bars show each day, the line the 7-day average, and all themes share the same scale. On the right: the last 7 days' total, its peak, and the change from the 7 days before.

This week, the most frequent theme: conflicts.

each day7-day averagepeak of the period

Most mentioned countries

Mentions in the briefings over the period shown (50 days). Arrows compare the last 7 days with the 7 days before.

  1. 1 United States 135 ▼ −17 %
  2. 2 France 84 = steady
  3. 3 Russia 55 ▲ +14 %
  4. 4 Ukraine 51 ▲ +11 %
  5. 5 China 42 ▼ −50 %
  6. 6 Germany 40 ▼ −14 %
  7. 7 Yemen 40 ▲ +33 %
  8. 8 Indonesia 37 ▲ +100 %
  9. 9 Saudi Arabia 36 ▲ +60 %
  10. 10 United Kingdom 35 = steady

All countries and their news →

Today's events on the map

WHO health alerts, disasters, internet outages and today's new sanctions, on the map; below, the indicators with no precise location (cyber, climate, space weather). Tap a dot to open the country page.

Andorra — 0/100Antigua and Barbuda — 0/100Argentina — 0/100Austria — 0/100Barbados — 0/100Bulgaria — 0/100Brunei — 0/100Bhutan — 0/100Canada — 0/100Switzerland — 0/100Cyprus — 0/100Czechia — 0/100Dominica — 0/100Estonia — 0/100Finland — 0/100Fiji — 0/100Falkland Islands — 0/100Micronesia (FSM) — 0/100Georgia — 0/100French Guiana — 0/100Guadeloupe — 0/100Greece — 0/100Guam — 0/100Croatia — 0/100Hungary — 0/100Ireland — 0/100Iceland — 0/100Japan — 0/100Kiribati — 0/100Saint Kitts and Nevis — 0/100South Korea — 0/100Kazakhstan — 0/100Liechtenstein — 0/100Lithuania — 0/100Luxembourg — 0/100Latvia — 0/100Monaco — 0/100Montenegro — 0/100Marshall Islands — 0/100North Macedonia — 0/100Mongolia — 0/100Martinique — 0/100Malta — 0/100Norway — 0/100Nauru — 0/100New Zealand — 0/100French Polynesia — 0/100Poland — 0/100Puerto Rico — 0/100Portugal — 0/100Palau — 0/100Réunion — 0/100Romania — 0/100Seychelles — 0/100Singapore — 0/100Slovenia — 0/100Slovakia — 0/100San Marino — 0/100Suriname — 0/100Tonga — 0/100Tuvalu — 0/100Taiwan — 0/100Uzbekistan — 0/100Saint Vincent & the Grenadines — 0/100Vanuatu — 0/100Samoa — 0/100Australia — 2/100Malaysia — 2/100United States — 4/100Zambia — 8/100Albania — 12/100Armenia — 12/100Cabo Verde — 12/100Grenada — 12/100Greenland — 12/100Kyrgyzstan — 12/100Saint Lucia — 12/100Mauritius — 12/100Panama — 12/100Paraguay — 12/100Serbia — 12/100Solomon Islands — 12/100Senegal — 12/100São Tomé and Principe — 12/100El Salvador — 12/100Thailand — 12/100Turkmenistan — 12/100Uruguay — 12/100Vietnam — 12/100Kosovo — 12/100Angola — 23/100Antarctica — 23/100Bosnia and Herzegovina — 23/100Belgium — 23/100Benin — 23/100Bolivia — 23/100Bahamas — 23/100Botswana — 23/100Belize — 23/100Congo — 23/100Ivory Coast — 23/100Chile — 23/100Cameroon — 23/100China — 23/100Costa Rica — 23/100Germany — 23/100Djibouti — 23/100Denmark — 23/100Dominican Republic — 23/100Algeria — 23/100Ecuador — 23/100Egypt — 23/100Spain — 23/100France — 23/100Gabon — 23/100United Kingdom — 23/100Ghana — 23/100Gambia, The — 23/100Guinea — 23/100Equatorial Guinea — 23/100Hong Kong — 23/100India — 23/100Italy — 23/100Jamaica — 23/100Cambodia — 23/100Comoros — 23/100Laos — 23/100Sri Lanka — 23/100Liberia — 23/100Lesotho — 23/100Morocco — 23/100Moldova — 23/100Madagascar — 23/100Maldives — 23/100Malawi — 23/100Mexico — 23/100Mozambique — 23/100New Caledonia — 23/100Netherlands — 23/100Nepal — 23/100Peru — 23/100Philippines — 23/100Rwanda — 23/100Sweden — 23/100Sierra Leone — 23/100Swaziland — 23/100Togo — 23/100Tajikistan — 23/100Timor-Leste (East Timor) — 23/100Tunisia — 23/100Turkey — 23/100Tanzania — 23/100Mayotte — 23/100South Africa — 23/100Zimbabwe — 23/100Bangladesh — 25/100Brazil — 25/100Indonesia — 25/100Namibia — 31/100United Arab Emirates — 35/100Azerbaijan — 35/100Colombia — 35/100Cuba — 35/100Eritrea — 35/100Guatemala — 35/100Guinea-Bissau — 35/100Guyana — 35/100Honduras — 35/100Jordan — 35/100Kenya — 35/100Macao — 35/100Nicaragua — 35/100Qatar — 35/100Trinidad and Tobago — 35/100Pakistan — 37/100Bahrain — 47/100Burundi — 47/100Ethiopia — 47/100Kuwait — 47/100Mauritania — 47/100Nigeria — 47/100Oman — 47/100Papua New Guinea — 47/100Israel — 51/100Chad — 58/100Uganda — 58/100Venezuela — 58/100Saudi Arabia — 61/100Afghanistan — 70/100Burkina Faso — 70/100Belarus — 70/100Central African Republic — 70/100Haiti — 70/100Iraq — 70/100Iran — 70/100North Korea — 70/100Lebanon — 70/100Libya — 70/100Mali — 70/100Myanmar — 70/100Niger — 70/100Palestine — 70/100Sudan — 70/100Somalia — 70/100South Sudan — 70/100Syria — 70/100Ukraine — 74/100Yemen — 74/100Democratic Republic of the Congo — 80/100Russia — 80/1001Namibia · Connectivity — Namibia: internet at 32% of usual traffic2Zambia · Connectivity — Zambia: internet at 43% of usual traffic3Saudi Arabia · Health (WHO) — MERS — Saudi Arabia (15 October 2026)4Russia · Health (WHO) — Pneumonia of undetermined etiology — Russia (10 October 2026)5Democratic Republic of the Congo · Health (WHO) — Ebola — Democratic Republic of the Congo (8 October 2026)

each country's scoretoday's fact

Today's facts

  1. Connectivity
  2. 1
    Namibia Namibia: internet at 32% of usual traffic
  3. 2
  4. Health (WHO)
  5. 3
  6. 4
  7. 5

See the full map →

No precise location

  • CyberCrisis 122 revendication(s) de rançongiciel enregistrée(s) dans le monde sur les dernières 48 h (source : ransomlook.io, revendications non vérifiées indépendamment).Details →
  • ClimateTension 15,53 °C le 11 octobre 2026, +0,87 °C par rapport à la moyenne 1991-2020Details →
  • Space weatherCalm aucune activité notable sur les échelles G, S et R du NOAA aujourd'huiDetails →
  • SanctionsCalm aucune nouvelle inscription depuis le dernier relevéDetails →

Colors by day

Each ribbon reads from left to right, day by day: its colour gives the part's level, and each break marks a change of level. On the right, the share of calm, tension and crisis days over the period. Hover over a ribbon for the exact date.

CalmTensionCrisison the right: share of the period

World
62 % tension
Geopolitics
96 % tension
Markets
68 % calm
Supply chain
57 % calm

Tap, click or slide along the ribbons to read a given day.

Numerical series

Raw closes and counts, without interpretation or recommendation: this is not financial advice. Available since this page was created — the history grows every day.

Tap or hover over a point on the line (or a bar) to show its exact date and value below.

Cyber — ransomware claims

Number of claims published by ransomware groups over a rolling 48h window (source: RansomLook). These are the groups' own statements, not independently verified.

Value: — (tap or hover a point)

Last known value (17 Oct.): 122 · highest 122, lowest 21 over the period.

Today
  • 122 revendication(s) de rançongiciel enregistrée(s) dans le monde sur les dernières 48 h (source : ransomlook.io, revendications non vérifiées indépendamment).
  • Groupe le plus actif sur la période : the gentlemen (37 revendication(s)).
Read in that day's briefing →
See the full history and value table →

Active disasters

Number of orange- or red-level GDACS alerts active that day, worldwide.

Value: — (tap or hover a point)

Last known value (17 Oct.): 0 · highest 1, lowest 0 over the period.

Today
  • aucune alerte orange ou rouge active dans le catalogue GDACS
Read in that day's briefing →
See the full history and value table →

Sanctions — new entries

Number of new entries recorded that day on the consolidated OFAC and UN lists.

Value: — (tap or hover a point)

Last known value (17 Oct.): 0 · highest 55, lowest 0 over the period.

Today
  • aucune nouvelle inscription depuis le dernier relevé
Read in that day's briefing →
See the full history and value table →

World risk index

Daily score from 0 to 100, weighted average of the colours of every tracked domain.

Value: — (tap or hover a point)

Last known value (17 Oct.): 36 · highest 55, lowest 20 over the period.

Today Details on the Risk page →
See the full history and value table →

Countries at crisis level

Number of countries whose risk index is 60 or more that day.

Value: — (tap or hover a point)

Last known value (17 Oct.): 23 · highest 23, lowest 22 over the period.

Today Details on the Risk page →
See the full history and value table →

Global temperature — anomaly

Difference between the global mean temperature and the 1991-2020 average for the same day (Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis), in °C.

Value: — (tap or hover a point)

Last known value (17 Oct.): 0.87 °C · highest 0.94 °C, lowest 0.68 °C over the period.

Today
  • 15,53 °C le 11 octobre 2026, +0,87 °C par rapport à la moyenne 1991-2020
Read in that day's briefing →
See the full history and value table →

WHO health alerts

Number of outbreak bulletins published by the World Health Organization over the last 30 days.

Value: — (tap or hover a point)

Last known value (17 Oct.): 4 · highest 4, lowest 2 over the period.

Today Read in that day's briefing →
See the full history and value table →

Stock indices, commodities, crypto, currencies and yields: see the Markets page →

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