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World index · 12 November 2026

Risk

A score from 0 to 100, computed every day with a fixed, public formula from 13 domains and official travel advisories.

03060100
25/100
Calm
▼ −5since yesterday▼ −15over 7 days▼ −11vs a month ago
World index over time

Value: — (tap or hover a point)

Calm < 30 · Tension 30–59 · Crisis ≥ 60

Since 25 Oct 2026: 13 domains (world economy added); earlier days unchanged. Method →

Today's score, piece by piece

Each domain under tension or in crisis adds points; a calm domain adds none. Added up, these points make today's score.

Today's score25/100

What adds points today

Calm, 0 points: Geopolitics, World, Disasters, Markets, Supply, World economy, Connectivity, Currencies and rates, Space weather.

Where today's points come from

Each dot is an event adding points to the index today. Tap it to read the article or the country page.

Andorra — 0/100Antigua and Barbuda — 0/100Argentina — 0/100Austria — 0/100Australia — 0/100Barbados — 0/100Bulgaria — 0/100Brunei — 0/100Bhutan — 0/100Canada — 0/100Switzerland — 0/100Cyprus — 0/100Czechia — 0/100Dominica — 0/100Estonia — 0/100Finland — 0/100Fiji — 0/100Falkland Islands — 0/100Micronesia (FSM) — 0/100Georgia — 0/100French Guiana — 0/100Guadeloupe — 0/100Greece — 0/100Guam — 0/100Croatia — 0/100Hungary — 0/100Iceland — 0/100Japan — 0/100Kiribati — 0/100Saint Kitts and Nevis — 0/100South Korea — 0/100Kazakhstan — 0/100Liechtenstein — 0/100Lithuania — 0/100Luxembourg — 0/100Latvia — 0/100Monaco — 0/100Montenegro — 0/100Marshall Islands — 0/100North Macedonia — 0/100Mongolia — 0/100Martinique — 0/100Malta — 0/100Malaysia — 0/100Norway — 0/100Nauru — 0/100New Zealand — 0/100French Polynesia — 0/100Poland — 0/100Puerto Rico — 0/100Portugal — 0/100Palau — 0/100Réunion — 0/100Romania — 0/100Seychelles — 0/100Singapore — 0/100Slovenia — 0/100Slovakia — 0/100San Marino — 0/100Suriname — 0/100Tonga — 0/100Tuvalu — 0/100Taiwan — 0/100Uzbekistan — 0/100Saint Vincent & the Grenadines — 0/100Vietnam — 0/100Vanuatu — 0/100Samoa — 0/100Zambia — 0/100Ireland — 2/100United States — 2/100Albania — 12/100Armenia — 12/100Cabo Verde — 12/100Grenada — 12/100Greenland — 12/100Kyrgyzstan — 12/100Saint Lucia — 12/100Mauritius — 12/100Panama — 12/100Paraguay — 12/100Serbia — 12/100Solomon Islands — 12/100Senegal — 12/100São Tomé and Principe — 12/100El Salvador — 12/100Thailand — 12/100Turkmenistan — 12/100Uruguay — 12/100Kosovo — 12/100Angola — 23/100Antarctica — 23/100Bosnia and Herzegovina — 23/100Bangladesh — 23/100Belgium — 23/100Benin — 23/100Bolivia — 23/100Brazil — 23/100Bahamas — 23/100Botswana — 23/100Belize — 23/100Congo — 23/100Ivory Coast — 23/100Chile — 23/100Cameroon — 23/100China — 23/100Costa Rica — 23/100Germany — 23/100Djibouti — 23/100Denmark — 23/100Dominican Republic — 23/100Algeria — 23/100Ecuador — 23/100Egypt — 23/100Spain — 23/100Gabon — 23/100United Kingdom — 23/100Ghana — 23/100Gambia, The — 23/100Guinea — 23/100Equatorial Guinea — 23/100Hong Kong — 23/100India — 23/100Jamaica — 23/100Cambodia — 23/100Comoros — 23/100Laos — 23/100Sri Lanka — 23/100Liberia — 23/100Lesotho — 23/100Morocco — 23/100Moldova — 23/100Madagascar — 23/100Maldives — 23/100Malawi — 23/100Mozambique — 23/100Namibia — 23/100New Caledonia — 23/100Netherlands — 23/100Nepal — 23/100Peru — 23/100Philippines — 23/100Rwanda — 23/100Sweden — 23/100Sierra Leone — 23/100Swaziland — 23/100Togo — 23/100Tajikistan — 23/100Timor-Leste (East Timor) — 23/100Tunisia — 23/100Turkey — 23/100Tanzania — 23/100Mayotte — 23/100South Africa — 23/100Zimbabwe — 23/100Italy — 25/100Mexico — 25/100Indonesia — 27/100France — 33/100United Arab Emirates — 35/100Azerbaijan — 35/100Colombia — 35/100Cuba — 35/100Eritrea — 35/100Guatemala — 35/100Guinea-Bissau — 35/100Guyana — 35/100Honduras — 35/100Jordan — 35/100Macao — 35/100Nicaragua — 35/100Pakistan — 35/100Qatar — 35/100Trinidad and Tobago — 35/100Bahrain — 47/100Burundi — 47/100Ethiopia — 47/100Kenya — 47/100Kuwait — 47/100Mauritania — 47/100Oman — 47/100Papua New Guinea — 47/100Israel — 51/100Nigeria — 57/100Saudi Arabia — 57/100Chad — 58/100Uganda — 58/100Venezuela — 58/100Afghanistan — 70/100Burkina Faso — 70/100Belarus — 70/100Central African Republic — 70/100Haiti — 70/100Iraq — 70/100North Korea — 70/100Lebanon — 70/100Libya — 70/100Mali — 70/100Myanmar — 70/100Niger — 70/100Palestine — 70/100Sudan — 70/100Somalia — 70/100Syria — 70/100Yemen — 70/100South Sudan — 72/100Iran — 74/100Russia — 74/100Ukraine — 74/100Democratic Republic of the Congo — 84/1001Democratic Republic of the Congo · Health (WHO) +10 — Ebola — Democratic Republic of the Congo (WHO bulletin of 6 November 2026)2Kenya · Health (WHO) +10 — Ebola — Kenya (WHO bulletin of 6 November 2026)3Nigeria · Health (WHO) +10 — Ebola — Nigeria (WHO bulletin of 6 November 2026)

each country's scoretoday's fact (size: points of its domain)

Day by day, domain by domain

Each domain is a ribbon read from left to right, oldest to most recent. Its colour gives the domain's level day after day; each break in the ribbon marks a change of level. A long single-colour ribbon means a situation is lasting. The number after the name is the domain's weight: the bigger it is, the more it counts in the index. Only periods under tension or in crisis add points.

CalmTensionCrisissource unavailablebreak: change of level

Index of the day 25/100
Geopolitics 170calm for 3 d
World 130calm for 1 d
Disasters 110calm for 66 d
Health (WHO) 10+10crisis for 74 d
Markets 80calm for 3 d
Supply 70calm for 15 d
Cyber 7+7crisis for 3 d
World economy 60calm for 19 d
Climate 6+6crisis for 9 d
Connectivity 60calm for 2 d
Sanctions 4+2tension for 1 d
Currencies and rates 30calm for 20 d
Space weather 20calm for 37 d

Hover or tap a ribbon to read what happened that day.

Days from 31 August 2026 to 24 September 2026 rebuilt from the site's archives (colours, disasters, outages, WHO, ECB, Treasury, ERA5); current travel advisories are applied to that whole period, as no public history exists.

And country by country

Each country gets its own score: up to 70 points from the official travel advisories of Canada and the United States, plus up to 30 points for what is happening there right now (disaster, health alert, internet outage, today's news). These advisories are written for travellers, from the point of view of foreign governments: the score does not measure everyday life there.

Countries by level today

231 countries and territories scored.

Most exposed

Travel advisories (up to 70) Right now (up to 30)

  1. 1 Democratic Republic of the Congo 84 WHO bulletin on a severe disease (30 days) +10 · In today's Geopolitics +4
  2. 2 Iran 74 In today's Geopolitics +4
  3. 3 Russia 74 In today's Geopolitics +4
  4. 4 Ukraine 74 In today's Geopolitics +4
  5. 5 South Sudan 72 In today's World news +2
  6. 6 Afghanistan 70 Score based on travel advisories only.
  7. 7 Burkina Faso 70 Score based on travel advisories only.
  8. 8 Belarus 70 Score based on travel advisories only.
  9. 9 Central African Republic 70 Score based on travel advisories only.
  10. 10 Haiti 70 Score based on travel advisories only.
  11. 11 Iraq 70 Score based on travel advisories only.
  12. 12 North Korea 70 Score based on travel advisories only.

Economy and society

A second score, separate from the index: how fragile each country is (public finances, jobs, prices, borrowing costs, protests and strikes). The countries below have the highest score today. Each score's details, and the overall score, are on the country page.

The formula in three steps

  1. 1

    One colour per domain

    Every morning, each of the 13 domains gets a colour (calm, tension or crisis) from written rules published on the Methodology page. Most domains follow numeric thresholds; the World and Geopolitics colours are set by the AI following those rules.

  2. 2

    One score per colour

    Calm is worth 0, tension 50, crisis 100. A domain with no data that day is simply left out.

  3. 3

    A weighted average

    Scores are averaged by each domain's weight (geopolitics counts six times more than space weather). Below 30 the world is calm, 30 to 59 under tension, 60 and above in crisis.

Full methodology →History, table of values and download →Download the history (CSV, CC BY) →

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