today's world briefing — severity never judged by AI
Horizon

Risk

A score from 0 to 100, computed every day with no AI judgement. Last updated: 26 September 2026.

Today 03060100
43/100
Tension
▲ +3since yesterday= 0over 7 days
World index over time

Value: — (tap or hover a point)

Calm < 30 · Tension 30–59 · Crisis ≥ 60

Today's score, piece by piece

Each domain under tension or in crisis adds points; a calm domain adds none. Added up, these points make today's score.

Today's score43/100

What adds points today

  • Health (WHO) Crisis +10
  • Geopolitics Tension +9
  • World Tension +7
  • Connectivity Crisis +6
  • Supply Tension +4
  • Cyber Tension +3.5
  • Climate Tension +3.5

Calm, 0 points: Disasters, Markets, Sanctions, Currencies and rates, Space weather.

Day by day, domain by domain

One row per domain, one square per day, coloured by its level that day. The number after each name is its weight: the bigger it is, the more the domain counts in the index. Only squares under tension or in crisis add points; calm squares add none.

CalmTensionCrisissource unavailable

Index of the day554240363838424039365252444440433939414340363632384043
Geopolitics 18
World 14
Disasters 12
Health (WHO) 10
Markets 8
Supply 8
Cyber 7
Climate 7
Connectivity 6
Sanctions 4
Currencies and rates 3
Space weather 3

Tap or hover a square for details.

Days from 31 August 2026 to 24 September 2026 rebuilt from the site's archives (colours, disasters, outages, WHO, ECB, Treasury, ERA5); current travel advisories are applied to that whole period, as no public history exists.

And country by country

Each country gets its own score: up to 70 points from the official travel advisories of Canada and the United States, plus up to 30 points for what is happening there right now (disaster, health alert, internet outage, today's news). These advisories are written for travellers, from the point of view of foreign governments: the score does not measure everyday life there.

Countries by level today

231 countries and territories scored.

Most exposed

Travel advisories (up to 70) Right now (up to 30)

  1. 1 Democratic Republic of the Congo 80 WHO bulletin on a severe disease (30 days) +10
  2. 2 Iraq 78 Major internet outage (IODA) +8
  3. 3 Yemen 74 In today's Geopolitics +4
  4. 4 Afghanistan 70 Score based on travel advisories only.
  5. 5 Burkina Faso 70 Score based on travel advisories only.
  6. 6 Belarus 70 Score based on travel advisories only.
  7. 7 Central African Republic 70 Score based on travel advisories only.
  8. 8 Haiti 70 Score based on travel advisories only.
  9. 9 Iran 70 Score based on travel advisories only.
  10. 10 North Korea 70 Score based on travel advisories only.
  11. 11 Lebanon 70 Score based on travel advisories only.
  12. 12 Libya 70 Score based on travel advisories only.

The formula in three steps

  1. 1

    One colour per domain

    Every morning, each of the 12 domains gets a colour (calm, tension or crisis) from fixed numeric rules published on the Methodology page. No AI picks the colour.

  2. 2

    One score per colour

    Calm is worth 0, tension 50, crisis 100. A domain with no data that day is simply left out.

  3. 3

    A weighted average

    Scores are averaged by each domain's weight (geopolitics counts six times more than space weather). Below 30 the world is calm, 30 to 59 under tension, 60 and above in crisis.

Full methodology →History, table of values and download →