13 events over the last 60 published days.
Increased caution is advised for visitors, but an economic and social situation without notable strain.
Safety 45 + Economy 16 ÷ 2 = 30
The overall score is the average of the two detailed scores below. Each score runs from 0 (nothing to report) to 100 (extreme situation): calm under 30, tension from 30 to 59, crisis from 60. The calculation is fixed and the same for every country: no AI gives its opinion.
What it measures: the danger for someone travelling to the country right now (crime, terrorism, unrest, disasters, epidemics).
What it does not measure: the state of the economy, daily life for residents or long-term political stability.
| Criterion | Today | Scale | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Canadian and US travel advisories | “Exercise a high degree of caution (with regional advisories)” · United States: level 3 of 4 | average of both advisories, from 0 (normal precautions) to 70 (do not travel) | 35/70 |
| Ongoing disaster (GDACS) | no alert | orange alert 8, red 15 | 0 |
| Reported epidemic (WHO, 30 days) | WHO bulletin on a severe disease (30 days) | common disease 6, severe disease 10 | 10 |
| Internet outage (IODA) | none | outage 5, major outage 8 | 0 |
| In today's news | not cited | World 2, Geopolitics 4 | 0 |
In short: the score comes from travel advisories (35 points out of 70); added on top: WHO bulletin on a severe disease (30 days) (+10).
Where the data comes from: Global Affairs Canada (travel advice) · US Department of State (travel advisories) · GDACS (UN and EU disaster alerts) · WHO (Disease Outbreak News, 30 days) · IODA, Georgia Tech (internet outages) · Horizon briefing of the day.
Score based on advisories written for foreign travellers: it does not describe everyday life there.
What it measures: how fragile the country is: public finances, jobs, prices, lender confidence and protest in the streets.
What it does not measure: the danger for a visitor, nor the future: it is neither a forecast nor financial advice.
| Criterion | Value | Scale | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Public debt · what the state owes, relative to a year of output | 72.9% of GDP | 0 up to 60% of GDP, 15 from 150% of GDP | 2.2/15 |
| Budget deficit · what the state spends beyond its revenue | −6.6% of GDP | 0 from −3% of GDP, 10 at −8% of GDP or below | 7.2/10 |
| Growth · increase in output | 4.5% | 0 from 2%, 10 at −2% or below | 0/10 |
| Unemployment · share of the labour force without a job | not available for this country | 0 up to 5%, 10 from 15% | — |
| Inflation · price rise over a year | 6% | 0 up to 3%, 15 from 30% | 1.7/15 |
| Spread over Germany · extra cost of borrowing over 10 years, a sign of lender confidence | euro area only: not counted for this country | 0 up to 0.5 pt, 20 from 3 pts | — |
| Protests and strikes · in the news over the last 7 days | 0 events in our briefings 0.9% of GDELT events | average of two measures: our briefings (1 event = 6 points, 5 or more = 20) and the share of protests in GDELT (0 up to 2%, 20 from 10%) | 0/20 |
In short: what weighs most is budget deficit. Not weighing: growth and protests.
Where the data comes from: IMF, World Economic Outlook (2026 forecasts): debt, deficit, growth, inflation, unemployment · ECB, 10-year government bond yields (September 2026), euro area only · GDELT Project (protest events, 7 days) · Horizon briefings of the last 7 days.
Score calculated on 5 of 7 criteria: the points obtained are scaled to 100.
2 independent sources point to this country in the last 7 briefings.
This country in the news web (3D) →
8 November 2026 World
In Kenya, horticulturists are preparing for an El Niño of perhaps unprecedented power; the country supplies one third of flowers imported by the European Union. In Latin America, banana producers fear a sharp drop in production due to extreme weather phenomena.
30 October 2026 World Ethiopia
Fighting over contested land and water points in Ethiopia's Moyale region has driven thousands of people toward Kenya. Families find themselves homeless and hungry there.
29 October 2026 World Ethiopia
Approximately 50,000 people have fled clashes between armed forces from the Somali and Oromia regions in southern Ethiopia. They have taken refuge in Kenya.
25 October 2026 World
A 65-year-old woman died of Ebola in Kenya. She was a close relative of the first victim, a man who had travelled from the Democratic Republic of the Congo.
25 October 2026 World
A multi-storey building still under construction collapsed on Friday in Nairobi. Two people were rescued and five are still missing. Police have launched a search for the owner and the contractor.
24 October 2026 World Democratic Republic of the Congo
A 65-year-old woman, close relative of the first victim, became the second person to die of Ebola in Kenya. Authorities say they have no evidence of community transmission. The epidemic now affects four African countries. The WHO announced the start of a clinical trial of vaccines in the Democratic Republic of the Congo.
21 October 2026 World
Nine Ebola cases are confirmed in Kenya. The United States has advised its nationals to reconsider any travel to the country, while the Kenyan government attempts to reassure the population.
20 October 2026 World
In Kenya, self-proclaimed pastor Paul Mackenzie and his 29 co-defendants have been found guilty of the murder of 191 people, including 190 children, found in Shakahola forest. The pastor preached extreme fasting.
19 October 2026 World
Kenyan health authorities have confirmed an eighth case of Ebola in the country. The patient was likely exposed to the first case recorded in Kenya. Al Jazeera describes a regional epidemic that is spreading.
15 October 2026 World
Kenya's Ministry of Health announced Wednesday evening a second Ebola case, this time in a close contact of the first victim and not in a person who had traveled. The first case was a man who died last week after arriving in Kenya from the Democratic Republic of Congo. The ministry says there is 'no large-scale spread'.
11 October 2026 World Democratic Republic of the Congo
New cases of Ebola have been reported in eastern Democratic Republic of the Congo. Kenya confirmed one imported case, which was fatal.
8 October 2026 World Democratic Republic of the Congo
A patient died of Ebola in Kenya. According to the WHO, he had fallen ill in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, where he lived and was treated.
7 October 2026 World Democratic Republic of the Congo
A 40-year-old Kenyan businessman who had traveled from the Democratic Republic of Congo to Uganda before flying to Nairobi died of the Ebola virus. It is the first time Kenya has recorded a case.
Today's risk score, highest first.
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