Sunday 25 October 2026
Briefing for 25 October 2026. A building under construction collapses in Nairobi. Markets: Bitcoin $80,548 · VIX 19.45 · CAC 40 7,783 · Brent $111.7 · S&P 500 7,624 · Hang Seng 23,093
In Kenya, a building under construction collapses in Nairobi with five people still missing, and a second Ebola death is confirmed, while Sydney inaugurates its new international airport.
A multi-storey building still under construction collapsed on Friday in Nairobi. Two people were rescued and five are still missing. Police have launched a search for the owner and the contractor.
A collapse of this type raises questions about compliance with construction standards and mobilizes rescue efforts to find the missing persons.
A 65-year-old woman died of Ebola in Kenya. She was a close relative of the first victim, a man who had travelled from the Democratic Republic of the Congo.
Two deaths from the disease in the same country and in the same family show that the virus is now circulating outside the DRC.
The new international airport in western Sydney welcomed its first passengers. Unlike the current airport, limited to take-offs and landings until 23:00, it will operate 24 hours a day.
This infrastructure changes the air capacity of the Sydney region and serves as a basis for the planned growth of the western part of the city.
A 7.0 magnitude earthquake struck off the Ogasawara Islands, approximately 1,000 km south of Tokyo. No tsunami was triggered.
An earthquake of this magnitude is powerful, but the absence of a tsunami limits its consequences.
The Archdiocese of New York has agreed to pay 800 million dollars to more than 1,300 victims of sexual abuse. This is the second largest settlement of its kind, after the 880 million agreement reached by the Archdiocese of Los Angeles in 2024.
This settlement ends a series of lawsuits and illustrates the cost of abuse scandals within the American Catholic Church.
A fire ravaged Hitler's former alpine residence, the "Eagle's Nest", in Bavaria. Approximately 200 rescue workers were mobilized. A 33-year-old German man was arrested.
The site is a historically significant location visited by many tourists, and the arrest of a suspect suggests a deliberate act.
Brazil votes on Sunday between Lula and Flavio Bolsonaro, Serbia and Bulgaria are also at the polls, and Israel closes the West Bank ahead of its legislative elections on Tuesday.
Approximately 160 million voters are called to the polls on Sunday to decide between left-wing president Lula, 80, and senator Flavio Bolsonaro, son of the imprisoned far-right former head of state. The two candidates are neck and neck after a very tense inter-round campaign.
The vote will decide whether Brazil remains one of the few left-wing nations in Latin America or joins the regional rightward shift.
Serbs vote on Sunday for snap legislative elections demanded by a powerful student movement, which is presenting a list against president Aleksandar Vucic. In power for fourteen years, the latter faces the threat of defeat in a vote that polls suggest is tight.
The result will show whether the protest movement, born nearly two years ago, can end fourteen years of Aleksandar Vucic's rule.
Israel will close all land crossings with the West Bank on the day of Tuesday's elections, following an attack on a checkpoint near Hebron that killed two soldiers. Approximately 2,000 Palestinians have been displaced by the army, which announced a major military operation.
This offensive and these restrictions come during the election campaign and further worsen the situation in the occupied territories.
Thousands of people demonstrated in Tel Aviv on Saturday against Benjamin Netanyahu's government, three days before legislative elections that are expected to be tight. The vote is widely seen as a referendum for or against the prime minister.
Tuesday's vote will decide Benjamin Netanyahu's political future in a divided country.
Bulgarians elect their president on Sunday, among 27 candidates. Incumbent president Iliana Iotova, favourable to dialogue with Russia and opposed to military aid to Ukraine, is the favourite against interim former Prime Minister Andrey Gyurov. The vote follows deadly drone strikes in the Black Sea.
The result will weigh on the position of a European Union member state in the face of the war in Ukraine.
The Houthis claim to have targeted three Saudi airports, including Riyadh, as well as energy facilities, an oil pipeline and an air base, and targets in Aden. The Saudi-led coalition says it intercepted three missiles and Saudi strikes killed at least four people in Sanaa.
The exchange of fire between the Houthis and the Saudi coalition marks a regional escalation affecting oil and airport infrastructure.
Donald Trump suggested that the United States could attack Iran as early as Sunday, or reach a major agreement with Tehran. Iran accuses Washington of the failure of negotiations and promises a response "several times greater" in case of strikes, even limited ones.
The outcome will decide between a resumption of war or an agreement, with direct consequences for the Gulf region.
The Ukrainian military says its Starlink connection is "stable" after a week of restrictions that had affected its military operations and drones. Elon Musk accuses Ukraine of violating the network's terms of use, which he describes as a civilian system and not a means of killing.
The Ukrainian military depends on this satellite network, and the episode reveals its vulnerability to the decisions of a private company.
Markets ended slightly lower on Friday: the CAC 40 fell 0.36%, Brent remained at 111.7 dollars and natural gas surged 9.08%.
Indonesia has reduced its pipeline gas exports to Singapore by approximately 9%, with 15 mmscfd withdrawn from Natuna and 16 mmscfd from Sumatra. Singapore's Prime Minister Lawrence Wong expects all suppliers to honour their commercial commitments.
This cut weighs on Singapore's gas supply in a context of energy tension.
Donald Trump announced at a rally in Georgia that Volkswagen had agreed to build a new 4.2 billion dollar Audi plant in the United States. He defended his tariff policy, which he says has enriched the country.
The announcement illustrates the intended effect of American tariffs on foreign industry investment.
China has urged the United States to abandon its plan to extend restrictions on outbound investment. Beijing believes the proposed rule on sensitive technologies would disrupt trade relations.
This American plan adds tension to trade relations between the world's two largest economies.
Last close recorded for the briefing of 25 October 2026 (crypto: price at publication time, in US dollars). Information only, not financial advice. All markets and charts →
Deterministic data, calculated by threshold or taken as-is from official sources — never judged by the model.
| Value | Close | Change |
|---|---|---|
| CAC 40 | 7,782.82 | ↓ -0.36 % |
| DAX | 25,181.65 | ↓ -0.75 % |
| FTSE 100 | 10,690.36 | ↓ -0.32 % |
| S&P 500 | 7,623.68 | ↓ -0.52 % |
| Nasdaq | 25,955.34 | ↓ -0.21 % |
| Nikkei 225 | 62,693.16 | ↓ -0.34 % |
| Hang Seng | 23,093.37 | ↑ +0.69 % |
| VIX | 19.45 | ↑ +2.21 % |
| Petrole Brent | 111.7 | ↓ -1.30 % |
| Gaz naturel | 3.05 | ↑ +9.08 % |
| Or | 4,007.9 | ↓ -1.29 % |
| EUR/USD | 1.12 | ↓ -0.16 % |
General, non-personalized information. Does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell.
| Value | Price | 24h change |
|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | 80,548 USD | ↓ -0.19 % |
| Ethereum | 2,348.47 USD | ↓ -1.18 % |
| BNB | 744.35 USD | ↑ +0.83 % |
| Solana | 101.81 USD | ↓ -0.26 % |
| XRP | 1.3 USD | ↑ +0.91 % |
aucun seuil franchi, marchés crypto calmes
General, non-personalized information. Does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell.
A combined reading of traffic through strategic straits and energy prices: two signals of the same possible tension on global supply chains. The more severe of the two prevails.
| Value | Price | Change |
|---|---|---|
| Petrole Brent | 111.7 USD | ↓ -1.30 % |
| Gaz naturel | 3.05 USD | ↑ +9.08 % |
Gaz naturel en hausse de 9.08 % sur la séance
Daily movement on the consolidated lists of OFAC (US Treasury) and the UN Security Council: the total almost never moves from one day to the next — the signal is the new entries since the last reading.
No new entries since the last reading.
19,471 entries tracked at OFAC (US Treasury) · 1,007 entries tracked at the UN
Significant internet outages detected by IODA (Georgia Tech) over the last 48h.
The background to that day's news: public data (conflicts, earthquakes, commodities, agenda). They are not part of the colours or the risk index.
Major central bank decisions and national elections in the following weeks, as known that day.
Bulgaria · President
Serbia · Parliament
Brazil · President (2nd round)
Israel · Knesset
United States · House of Representatives and Senate
Grenada · Parliament
New Zealand · ParliamentSource : Fed, ECB, Wikipedia (electoral calendar)
13,286 estimated deaths · 43 countries
Ukraine
6,202
Yemen
2,924
Pakistan
667
Ethiopia
609
Nigeria
451
Sudan
277
Mexico
262Central estimate, provisional monthly data; change versus the previous month.
189 of magnitude 4.5+ · 9 of 6+
China
22 October · orange alert
Vanuatu
24 OctoberSource : USGS (public domain) ↗
Monthly average world prices in US dollars; indices 2010 = 100.
| Level | 1 month | 1 year | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Energy | 149 | +25.7 % | +70.0 % |
| Food | 124 | +3.8 % | +15.8 % |
| Fertilizers | 147 | +0.4 % | −1.7 % |
| Base metals | 166 | +0.8 % | +35.1 % |
| Precious metals | 339 | −1.9 % | +22.6 % |
| Level | 1 month | 1 year | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brent crude | 117 $/bbl | +28.5 % | +71.8 % |
| Natural gas (Europe) | 25.42 $/MMBtu | +20.4 % | +128.6 % |
| Wheat | 347 $/t | +5.2 % | +48.4 % |
| Maize | 240 $/t | +7.0 % | +21.4 % |
| Rice | 482 $/t | +2.3 % | +28.9 % |
| Cocoa | 5.92 $/kg | −0.5 % | −15.8 % |
| Arabica coffee | 7.26 $/kg | −8.9 % | −17.8 % |
| Copper | 14,474 $/t | +1.0 % | +45.0 % |
| Gold | 4,319 $/oz | −2.1 % | +17.7 % |
Source : World Bank, Pink Sheet (CC BY 4.0) ↗
Kenya
Australia
Japan
Germany
Palestine
Saudi Arabia
Iran