25 October 2026 World
Tokyo: 7.0 magnitude earthquake off the Ogasawara Islands
A 7.0 magnitude earthquake struck off the Ogasawara Islands, approximately 1,000 km south of Tokyo. No tsunami was triggered.
Overall score
12/100
Calm
- Since 23 Oct.
- = stable
- Rank
- 102nd of 193 countries tied
- Updated
- 25 Oct.
No particular danger for a visitor, and an economic and social situation without notable strain.
Safety 2 + Economy 23 ÷ 2 = 12
The overall score is the average of the two detailed scores below. Each score runs from 0 (nothing to report) to 100 (extreme situation): calm under 30, tension from 30 to 59, crisis from 60. The calculation is fixed and the same for every country: no AI gives its opinion.
Safety on the ground
2/100 CalmWhat it measures: the danger for someone travelling to the country right now (crime, terrorism, unrest, disasters, epidemics).
What it does not measure: the state of the economy, daily life for residents or long-term political stability.
| Criterion | Today | Scale | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Canadian and US travel advisories | “Exercise normal security precautions (with regional advisories)” · United States: level 1 of 4 | average of both advisories, from 0 (normal precautions) to 70 (do not travel) | 0/70 |
| Ongoing disaster (GDACS) | no alert | orange alert 8, red 15 | 0 |
| Reported epidemic (WHO, 30 days) | none | common disease 6, severe disease 10 | 0 |
| Internet outage (IODA) | none | outage 5, major outage 8 | 0 |
| In today's news | In today's World news | World 2, Geopolitics 4 | 2 |
In short: the score comes from travel advisories (0 points out of 70); added on top: In today's World news (+2).
Where the data comes from: Global Affairs Canada (travel advice) · US Department of State (travel advisories) · GDACS (UN and EU disaster alerts) · WHO (Disease Outbreak News, 30 days) · IODA, Georgia Tech (internet outages) · Horizon briefing of the day.
Score based on advisories written for foreign travellers: it does not describe everyday life there.
Economy and society
23/100 CalmWhat it measures: how fragile the country is: public finances, jobs, prices, lender confidence and protest in the streets.
What it does not measure: the danger for a visitor, nor the future: it is neither a forecast nor financial advice.
| Criterion | Value | Scale | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Public debt · what the state owes, relative to a year of output | 199.4% of GDP | 0 up to 60% of GDP, 15 from 150% of GDP | 15/15 |
| Budget deficit · what the state spends beyond its revenue | −1.4% of GDP | 0 from −3% of GDP, 10 at −8% of GDP or below | 0/10 |
| Growth · increase in output | 0.7% | 0 from 2%, 10 at −2% or below | 3.2/10 |
| Unemployment · share of the labour force without a job | 2.5% | 0 up to 5%, 10 from 15% | 0/10 |
| Inflation · price rise over a year | 2% | 0 up to 3%, 15 from 30% | 0/15 |
| Spread over Germany · extra cost of borrowing over 10 years, a sign of lender confidence | euro area only: not counted for this country | 0 up to 0.5 pt, 20 from 3 pts | — |
| Protests and strikes · in the news over the last 7 days | 0 events in our briefings 0.7% of GDELT events | average of two measures: our briefings (1 event = 6 points, 5 or more = 20) and the share of protests in GDELT (0 up to 2%, 20 from 10%) | 0/20 |
In short: what weighs most is high debt and weak growth. Not weighing: deficit, inflation, unemployment and protests.
Where the data comes from: IMF, World Economic Outlook (2026 forecasts): debt, deficit, growth, inflation, unemployment · ECB, 10-year government bond yields (September 2026), euro area only · GDELT Project (protest events, 7 days) · Horizon briefings of the last 7 days.
Score calculated on 6 of 7 criteria: the points obtained are scaled to 100.
Scores over time
Score published since 23 October 2026: the chart fills in day by day.
This country in the news web (3D) →
In the news
October 2026 8 events
22 October 2026 World
PHP flaws detected by AI bring down thousands of websites
Flaws identified using artificial intelligence in PHP, a programming language widely used on the internet, led on Wednesday to thousands of websites being taken offline as a precaution. Sites of Japanese ministries were partially suspended, with governments of several countries temporarily closing their sites.
20 October 2026 World
Japan launches probe to Martian moon Phobos
Japan launched the MMX mission from Tanegashima space center, a probe tasked with bringing back 10 grams of samples from Phobos, a moon of Mars, to Earth. The mission lasts five years. The French Cnes contributes several contributions to it.
18 October 2026 World
Japan prepares a round-trip mission to a moon of Mars
Japan will launch a historic mission with return to Earth to a moon of Mars. It could also pave the way for future human exploration.
14 October 2026 Geopolitics Russia
Russia: arrest of Japanese journalist for alleged espionage
A journalist from Hokkaido Shimbun was arrested in Russia, in the Sakhalin region, for alleged espionage: he is accused of collecting information for Tokyo on Moscow's defense capabilities. Tokyo is seeking information about his detention.
8 October 2026 World France
Nobel Prize in Chemistry awarded to Henri Kagan and Kenso Soai
Frenchman Henri Kagan and Japanese Kenso Soai have been awarded the Nobel Prize in Chemistry. They are distinguished for their work on asymmetric catalysis.
6 October 2026 Markets
Ten-year JGB yield at 30-year high
The coupon on the ten-year Japanese government bond reaches a 30-year high, fueling concerns about Japan's public finances.
5 October 2026 Markets
Nikkei crosses 70,000 mark again
The Nikkei index crossed the 70,000 mark again with the return of optimism on AI, and closes at 69,955.26 points, up 2.41%.
September 2026 9 events
29 September 2026 World
Record rainfall in Tokyo, 34 consecutive days
Central Tokyo records 34 consecutive days of rain, a record, with continuous precipitation since August 27 due to approaching typhoons and a stationary rain front.
28 September 2026 Markets
Nidec announces heavy accounting impairment
Japanese motor manufacturer Nidec will record an impairment loss of more than 3.8 billion dollars.
26 September 2026 World
Typhoon Dujuan cuts power to eastern Japan
More than 10,000 households remain without power in eastern Japan following Typhoon Dujuan's passage, with operator TEPCO citing outages that could extend further.
23 September 2026 World
Typhoon Dujuan kills in Japan
Typhoon Dujuan reached the Kanto region of Japan on 21 September, causing landslides and flooding. The toll stands at nine dead and four missing, with hundreds of houses damaged.
22 September 2026 World
Typhoon Dujuan kills several in Japan
The typhoon killed at least four people in the Tokyo region, with six people reported missing after landslides. More than 1.6 million residents had been called to evacuate, and 45,000 households lost power.
21 September 2026 World
A powerful typhoon strikes eastern Japan
A powerful typhoon was approaching the Pacific coast of Japan on Monday, bringing torrential rains, violent winds and an increased risk of landslides in the Kanto region. Hundreds of flights were cancelled, disrupting transport during a five-day holiday period.
18 September 2026 Markets
Bank of Japan raises rates to a 31-year high
The Bank of Japan raised its policy rate from 1 to 1.25%, a level unseen in 31 years, in order to counter inflation fueled by rising energy prices linked to the Middle East crisis.
15 September 2026 Markets
Japan considers raising defense spending to 3.5% of GDP
Under pressure from the United States, Japan is studying an increase in defense spending to 3.5% of GDP, a decision that could concern financial markets regarding Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi's spending plans.
9 September 2026 World
Record rainfall in Nagoya, Japan
The Japanese city of Nagoya experienced record precipitation, with a historic maximum of 105 mm of rain in one hour, disrupting daily life and causing flooding of roads and railway lines, as well as damage to Asian Games sites.
Other countries: Asia-Pacific
Today's risk score, highest first.
Afghanistan 70Myanmar 70North Korea 70Papua New Guinea 47Pakistan 35Antarctica 23Bangladesh 23Cambodia 23China 23Hong Kong 23India 23Indonesia 23Laos 23Nepal 23Philippines 23Sri Lanka 23Tajikistan 23Kyrgyzstan 12Thailand 12Turkmenistan 12Australia 2Fiji 0Kazakhstan 0Malaysia 0Mongolia 0New Zealand 0Singapore 0South Korea 0Taiwan 0Uzbekistan 0Vietnam 0
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