5 events over the last 60 published days.
No particular danger for a visitor, and an economic and social situation without notable strain.
Safety 12 + Economy 2 ÷ 2 = 7
The overall score is the average of the two detailed scores below. Each score runs from 0 (nothing to report) to 100 (extreme situation): calm under 30, tension from 30 to 59, crisis from 60. The calculation is fixed and the same for every country: no AI gives its opinion.
What it measures: the danger for someone travelling to the country right now (crime, terrorism, unrest, disasters, epidemics).
What it does not measure: the state of the economy, daily life for residents or long-term political stability.
| Criterion | Today | Scale | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Canadian and US travel advisories | “Exercise a high degree of caution (with regional advisories)” · United States: level 1 of 4 | average of both advisories, from 0 (normal precautions) to 70 (do not travel) | 11.7/70 |
| Ongoing disaster (GDACS) | no alert | orange alert 8, red 15 | 0 |
| Reported epidemic (WHO, 30 days) | none | common disease 6, severe disease 10 | 0 |
| Internet outage (IODA) | none | outage 5, major outage 8 | 0 |
| In today's news | not cited | World 2, Geopolitics 4 | 0 |
In short: the score comes from travel advisories (11.7 points out of 70); no ongoing event adds to it.
Where the data comes from: Global Affairs Canada (travel advice) · US Department of State (travel advisories) · GDACS (UN and EU disaster alerts) · WHO (Disease Outbreak News, 30 days) · IODA, Georgia Tech (internet outages) · Horizon briefing of the day.
Score based on advisories written for foreign travellers: it does not describe everyday life there.
What it measures: how fragile the country is: public finances, jobs, prices, lender confidence and protest in the streets.
What it does not measure: the danger for a visitor, nor the future: it is neither a forecast nor financial advice.
| Criterion | Value | Scale | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Public debt · what the state owes, relative to a year of output | 67.2% of GDP | 0 up to 60% of GDP, 15 from 150% of GDP | 1.2/15 |
| Budget deficit · what the state spends beyond its revenue | −3.3% of GDP | 0 from −3% of GDP, 10 at −8% of GDP or below | 0.6/10 |
| Growth · increase in output | 2.1% | 0 from 2%, 10 at −2% or below | 0/10 |
| Unemployment · share of the labour force without a job | 1% | 0 up to 5%, 10 from 15% | 0/10 |
| Inflation · price rise over a year | 2.1% | 0 up to 3%, 15 from 30% | 0/15 |
| Spread over Germany · extra cost of borrowing over 10 years, a sign of lender confidence | euro area only: not counted for this country | 0 up to 0.5 pt, 20 from 3 pts | — |
| Protests and strikes · in the news over the last 7 days | 0 events in our briefings 0.5% of GDELT events | average of two measures: our briefings (1 event = 6 points, 5 or more = 20) and the share of protests in GDELT (0 up to 2%, 20 from 10%) | 0/20 |
In short: what weighs most is no criterion in particular. Not weighing: growth, inflation, unemployment and protests.
Where the data comes from: IMF, World Economic Outlook (2026 forecasts): debt, deficit, growth, inflation, unemployment · ECB, 10-year government bond yields (September 2026), euro area only · GDELT Project (protest events, 7 days) · Horizon briefings of the last 7 days.
Score calculated on 6 of 7 criteria: the points obtained are scaled to 100.
15 October 2026 Markets
Finance ministers and central bank governors of the G20 are meeting in Thailand, as the conflict pushes energy prices higher and darkens the outlook for the global economy. The IMF forecasts a contraction of 1.3% in the Middle East, North Africa and Pakistan, and the head of UNDP warns of rising poverty.
29 September 2026 World
Bangkok was hit by significant flooding, with 320 mm of rain falling in two to three days, forcing residents to create makeshift floating markets. Thailand's 'One Map' alert system is being tested by this episode.
28 September 2026 World
Bangkok authorities declared a natural disaster state in the city's 50 districts after 48 hours of torrential rain. Damage is estimated at 320 million dollars and 41 Thai provinces are affected, with thousands of people sheltered in emergency centers.
27 September 2026 World
All districts of Bangkok were declared in a state of natural disaster following torrential rains that flooded the streets. Approximately 52,000 households were affected and nearly 4,900 people evacuated to shelters, although authorities indicate that rainfall subsequently eased.
26 September 2026 World
The city of Bangkok declared disaster status following torrential rains that dumped nearly 300 mm of water in 48 hours. Eastern Bangkok is on alert, with canals reaching critical levels.
Today's risk score, highest first.
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