5 October 2026
Briefing for 5 October 2026. Ebola in DRC: France supports Kinshasa · Brazil: Flavio Bolsonaro leads Lula in first round · G20 fails to agree on overcapacities
A day without major disaster: the Ebola epidemic in DRC, preparation for COP31 and violence on Tigray's borders dominate the news.
French minister Jean-Noël Barrot travelled to the Democratic Republic of Congo, in Ituri province, to mark France's support in the face of the epidemic. According to Le Monde, this is the deadliest Ebola epidemic in the country's history.
An epidemic described as the deadliest in the country's history is now mobilizing international aid, with France positioning itself alongside Congolese authorities.
Pacific leaders want to draw global attention to the reality experienced on the front lines of climate change, at a preparatory meeting for COP31. Discussions are being held in Nadi, Fiji, and on the atoll of Tuvalu; COP31 is to take place next month in Turkey.
Island states most exposed to climate change are attempting to influence the agenda of the major climate conference, as Australia is questioned over its expansion of coal production.
Fiji
Tuvalu3 sources
An air ambulance departing from Bermuda for Boston disappeared after losing altitude and contact with air traffic control. Debris was found off Nantucket island. American coast guards suspended search operations for the six people on board, presumed dead.
Six people are presumed dead in the crash of this medical aircraft.
United States3 sources
A Russian laboratory employee died of suspected plague in Siberia. A Russian agency links his death to pneumonia of unknown origin, and the United States is monitoring the case.
The case is being followed abroad, but its exact causes remain to be confirmed.
Russia1 source
Brazil heads toward an unexpected runoff between Flavio Bolsonaro and Lula, while war intensifies in Ethiopia, Yemen and around Kiev.
Flavio Bolsonaro, son of former president Jair Bolsonaro, leads the first round of the presidential election with 47% of votes, compared to 45% for incumbent president Lula. With neither exceeding 50%, a runoff is scheduled for October 25.
A far-right candidate leads the incumbent left-wing president and defies polls, opening a highly uncertain runoff.
The Ethiopian federal army and an allied Tigrayan militia control Tigray's capital, Mekele, after fighting resumed in late September. The presidents of Egypt, Somalia, Sudan and Eritrea met in Alamein and issued a joint statement.
The capture of Mekele revives fears of regional conflict in the Horn of Africa and a new cycle of population displacement.
Ethiopia4 sources
A Russian drone again struck a Kiev bridge on the day of a surprise visit by German Chancellor Friedrich Merz. Merz announced new weapons contracts and a new promise of financial aid. Moscow had advised Europeans against travelling to Kiev.
German support is displayed as the Ukrainian capital undergoes daily strikes, and Russia promises to intensify its own.
The Yemeni government announced a large-scale operation to retake territories still held by the Houthis. The announcement comes as strikes are being exchanged between the Houthis and the coalition led by Saudi Arabia.
This offensive announced as total relaunches an already long-standing conflict.
Yemen4 sources
The Pentagon announced the withdrawal of all American bombers deployed at the British Fairford base, used to strike Iran. This withdrawal follows an incident near the base, where gasoline was found in vehicles and six men are under judicial supervision.
An investigation into a suspected terrorist attack plot against this base is leading the United States to withdraw its aircraft.
United Kingdom4 sources
In general elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina, Serbian and Croat nationalist parties gained ground. Milorad Dodik claimed victory for his party.
This ballot confirms the country's ethnic and religious divisions.
Bosnia and Herzegovina3 sources
The British Green Party voted a motion describing Zionism as a form of racism. The party, which obtained 6% of votes in the 2024 national elections, describes Zionism as an ethnonationalist political project.
This position by a British party relaunches the debate on Zionism and British politics.
United Kingdom2 sources
Markets are calm and trending upward: the Nikkei surges 2.41%, the Nasdaq gains 1.19%, the VIX falls to 15.31 and Brent remains at 101.39 dollars.
China prevented the G20 from reaching agreement on industrial overcapacities, a subject pushed by Washington. Beijing invokes "divergent opinions". The draft text called on all countries to eliminate structural overcapacities in their economies.
This blockade reveals a fracture between Washington and Beijing over industrial policy and trade.
The government presented its 2027 budget proposal, targeting a 5% deficit of GDP. Bercy says it is "negotiable", but nothing suggests a compromise in Parliament. Laurent Wauquiez rules out a censure strategy, which offers support to the government.
This budget, under strong financial constraint, conditions the trajectory of French public finances.
France2 sources
The Nikkei index crossed the 70,000 mark again with the return of optimism on AI, and closes at 69,955.26 points, up 2.41%.
The Nikkei rise reflects investor appetite for artificial intelligence-related stocks.
Japan1 source
Middle East oil exports have exceeded their pre-war level, according to published data. They averaged 18 million barrels per day between March 2025 and February. Attacks on tankers have however increased.
Oil flows are recovering despite tensions, which weighs on the energy market.
Last close recorded for the briefing of 5 October 2026 (crypto: price at publication time, in US dollars). Information only, not financial advice. All markets and charts →
Deterministic data, calculated by threshold or taken as-is from official sources — never judged by the model.
| Value | Close | Change |
|---|---|---|
| CAC 40 | 7,897.19 | ↑ +0.79 % |
| DAX | 25,231.2 | ↑ +1.17 % |
| FTSE 100 | 10,461.95 | ↑ +0.32 % |
| S&P 500 | 7,722.72 | ↑ +0.73 % |
| Nasdaq | 27,190.86 | ↑ +1.19 % |
| Nikkei 225 | 69,955.26 | ↑ +2.41 % |
| Hang Seng | 23,993.85 | ↑ +0.09 % |
| VIX | 15.31 | ↓ -6.59 % |
| Petrole Brent | 101.39 | ↓ -0.84 % |
| Gaz naturel | 3.02 | ↓ -0.36 % |
| Or | 4,180.2 | ↑ +0.43 % |
| EUR/USD | 1.12 | ↓ -0.56 % |
General, non-personalized information. Does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell.
| Value | Price | 24h change |
|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | 85,876 USD | ↑ +1.13 % |
| Ethereum | 2,712.22 USD | ↑ +0.77 % |
| BNB | 791.77 USD | ↑ +0.53 % |
| Solana | 120.88 USD | ↑ +0.16 % |
| XRP | 1.51 USD | ↑ +1.38 % |
aucun seuil franchi, marches crypto calmes
General, non-personalized information. Does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell.
A combined reading of traffic through strategic straits and energy prices: two signals of the same possible tension on global supply chains. The more severe of the two prevails.
| Value | Price | Change |
|---|---|---|
| Petrole Brent | 101.39 USD | ↓ -0.84 % |
| Gaz naturel | 3.02 USD | ↓ -0.36 % |
Ormuz — trafic a 50% de la normale (donnee du 2026-09-27)
Daily movement on the consolidated lists of OFAC (US Treasury) and the UN Security Council: the total almost never moves from one day to the next — the signal is the new entries since the last reading.
No new entries since the last reading.
19,488 entries tracked at OFAC (US Treasury) · 1,011 entries tracked at the UN
21 ransomware claim(s) recorded worldwide over the last 48 hours (source: RansomLook). These are claims made by criminal groups on their own leak sites, never independently verified.
capitalbankhaiti.biz
lockbit5 claims to have compromised this organization.
Bold Spring Nursery
play claims to have compromised this organization.
Silicon Valley Glass
play claims to have compromised this organization.
Unident Group
qilin claims to have compromised this organization.
Chadwick Switchboards
qilin claims to have compromised this organization.
Emser
qilin claims to have compromised this organization.
Significant internet outages detected by IODA (Georgia Tech) over the last 48h.
Ukraine
Germany