17 events over the last 60 published days.
Increased caution is advised for visitors, but an economic and social situation without notable strain.
Safety 47 + Economy 7 ÷ 2 = 27
The overall score is the average of the two detailed scores below. Each score runs from 0 (nothing to report) to 100 (extreme situation): calm under 30, tension from 30 to 59, crisis from 60. The calculation is fixed and the same for every country: no AI gives its opinion.
What it measures: the danger for someone travelling to the country right now (crime, terrorism, unrest, disasters, epidemics).
What it does not measure: the state of the economy, daily life for residents or long-term political stability.
| Criterion | Today | Scale | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Canadian and US travel advisories | “Avoid non-essential travel (with regional advisories)” · United States: level 3 of 4 | average of both advisories, from 0 (normal precautions) to 70 (do not travel) | 46.7/70 |
| Ongoing disaster (GDACS) | no alert | orange alert 8, red 15 | 0 |
| Reported epidemic (WHO, 30 days) | none | common disease 6, severe disease 10 | 0 |
| Internet outage (IODA) | none | outage 5, major outage 8 | 0 |
| In today's news | not cited | World 2, Geopolitics 4 | 0 |
In short: the score comes from travel advisories (46.7 points out of 70); no ongoing event adds to it.
Where the data comes from: Global Affairs Canada (travel advice) · US Department of State (travel advisories) · GDACS (UN and EU disaster alerts) · WHO (Disease Outbreak News, 30 days) · IODA, Georgia Tech (internet outages) · Horizon briefing of the day.
Score based on advisories written for foreign travellers: it does not describe everyday life there.
What it measures: how fragile the country is: public finances, jobs, prices, lender confidence and protest in the streets.
What it does not measure: the danger for a visitor, nor the future: it is neither a forecast nor financial advice.
| Criterion | Value | Scale | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Public debt · what the state owes, relative to a year of output | 40.7% of GDP | 0 up to 60% of GDP, 15 from 150% of GDP | 0/15 |
| Budget deficit · what the state spends beyond its revenue | −2% of GDP | 0 from −3% of GDP, 10 at −8% of GDP or below | 0/10 |
| Growth · increase in output | 9.2% | 0 from 2%, 10 at −2% or below | 0/10 |
| Unemployment · share of the labour force without a job | not available for this country | 0 up to 5%, 10 from 15% | — |
| Inflation · price rise over a year | 11.7% | 0 up to 3%, 15 from 30% | 4.8/15 |
| Spread over Germany · extra cost of borrowing over 10 years, a sign of lender confidence | euro area only: not counted for this country | 0 up to 0.5 pt, 20 from 3 pts | — |
| Protests and strikes · in the news over the last 7 days | 0 events in our briefings 0.6% of GDELT events | average of two measures: our briefings (1 event = 6 points, 5 or more = 20) and the share of protests in GDELT (0 up to 2%, 20 from 10%) | 0/20 |
In short: what weighs most is inflation. Not weighing: public debt, deficit, growth and protests.
Where the data comes from: IMF, World Economic Outlook (2026 forecasts): debt, deficit, growth, inflation, unemployment · ECB, 10-year government bond yields (September 2026), euro area only · GDELT Project (protest events, 7 days) · Horizon briefings of the last 7 days.
Score calculated on 5 of 7 criteria: the points obtained are scaled to 100.
This country in the news web (3D) →
30 October 2026 World Kenya
Fighting over contested land and water points in Ethiopia's Moyale region has driven thousands of people toward Kenya. Families find themselves homeless and hungry there.
29 October 2026 World Kenya
Approximately 50,000 people have fled clashes between armed forces from the Somali and Oromia regions in southern Ethiopia. They have taken refuge in Kenya.
28 October 2026 World
The entry into force of European regulations against deforestation could eliminate outlets for small Ethiopian coffee producers. Many of them would be unable to comply.
28 October 2026 World
Attacks killed at least 60 Orthodox Christians in Ethiopia, according to the Church. Over 20 people were seriously wounded and 20 houses were set on fire. The Church speaks of 'brutal and merciless massacres'.
27 October 2026 World
Church officials say more than sixty Christians were killed in the Oromia region of Ethiopia. More than twenty people were injured and around twenty houses burned down. A resident whose 75-year-old father was killed describes an ambush, explaining that victims were surrounded.
12 October 2026 Geopolitics Eritrea
Ethiopian troops entered Adigrat, in northern Tigray, near the Eritrean border, after the withdrawal of rebel fighters. Eritrea accuses Ethiopia of destabilizing the region, and the two countries accuse each other.
9 October 2026 Geopolitics Eritrea
Eritrean troops deployed around Adigrat, in northern Tigray, bordering Eritrea. Fighting resumed on September 23 in northern Ethiopia.
8 October 2026 Geopolitics Eritrea
Eritrean troops are deploying around Adigrat, in northern Tigray. The Eritrean army supports insurgents of the Tigray People's Liberation Front, fighting against the central Ethiopian government, raising fears of direct confrontation with Addis Ababa.
6 October 2026 Geopolitics
Airstrikes and artillery hit northern Ethiopia. According to a humanitarian bulletin, at least 17 people were killed northwest of Mekele, which federal forces took over the weekend.
5 October 2026 Geopolitics
The Ethiopian federal army and an allied Tigrayan militia control Tigray's capital, Mekele, after fighting resumed in late September. The presidents of Egypt, Somalia, Sudan and Eritrea met in Alamein and issued a joint statement.
4 October 2026 Geopolitics
Ethiopian federal troops entered Saturday in Mekele, capital of the Tigray regional state, largely abandoned earlier by rebel forces. Fighting broke out on September 23 when the Tigray People's Liberation Front launched attacks toward neighboring states.
3 October 2026 Geopolitics Eritrea
Ethiopia and Eritrea have severed diplomatic ties as the conflict intensifies in northern Ethiopia. Ethiopian forces are facing rebel fighters in the region.
2 October 2026 Geopolitics Eritrea
Ethiopia accused Eritrea of hostile acts, closed its embassy and ordered ten diplomats to leave. Asmara retaliated by breaking relations, as fighting continues in northern Ethiopia.
1 October 2026 Geopolitics
Fighting in Tigray has killed 52 civilians, according to a doctor interviewed by the BBC. It has spread to neighboring regions and is trapping tourists in Lalibela.
27 September 2026 Geopolitics Eritrea
The Ethiopian military promised restraint amid fears of a new civil war, four years after the Pretoria peace agreement that ended the conflict in the North. The military chief accuses Eritrea of financing and supporting armed groups to weaken Ethiopia, as clashes between federal army and rebel groups resumed this week.
25 September 2026 Geopolitics
Rebel authorities in Tigray declared they are in "total war" against the Ethiopian government, as fighting pits federal forces against armed groups in the region. The Ethiopian army claims to have repelled new attacks.
20 September 2026 World
The Ethiopian government is limiting cryptocurrency mining activities, mostly carried out by Chinese companies based in the country to take advantage of hydroelectricity, in order to preserve Nile waters in the face of drought.
Today's risk score, highest first.
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