Wednesday 28 October 2026
Briefing for 28 October 2026. Ebola epidemic exceeds 10,000 cases in DRC. Markets: Bitcoin $80,841 · VIX 17.5 · CAC 40 7,887 · Brent $111.4 · S&P 500 7,723 · Hang Seng 23,104
A local truce in Olechky, deadly attacks in Sudan and Ethiopia, and the Ebola epidemic in DRC, now above 10,000 cases, dominate the news.
The Ebola epidemic has exceeded 10,000 cases in the Democratic Republic of Congo, following the death of a nurse and the wounding of another. It is now the second largest in the world and, according to health authorities, the fastest in the country's history.
The scale and speed of spread make this epidemic a major health issue, with healthcare workers themselves affected.
A Sudanese military drone attack on a market killed over 100 people, according to a human rights organization. At least 113 people were wounded, including many women and children. Western countries are also warning of a risk of famine in the country.
Civil war, worsened by drought and cuts in funding, exposes millions of Sudanese to acute hunger.
A local ceasefire came into effect in Olechky, a city occupied by Russia, to deliver aid and evacuate those who wish to leave. The truce was then extended to the entire Kherson region, and Russia and Ukraine say no violations have been reported. The city has been without electricity, gas or water for three years.
The operation aims to save civilians trapped in a city deprived of everything for three years, but it remains risky.
Attacks killed at least 60 Orthodox Christians in Ethiopia, according to the Church. Over 20 people were seriously wounded and 20 houses were set on fire. The Church speaks of 'brutal and merciless massacres'.
The toll, announced by the Church itself, makes these attacks one of the deadliest violence recently reported against a religious community in the country.
A rare Nanotyrannus skeleton was sold for 47.3 million dollars at an auction in New York. The sale reignites debate within the scientific community over the fate of dinosaur remains: private collections or public display.
The sale raises questions about researchers' access to rare fossils, which can end up in private hands.
In China, the dependency ratio of elderly people exceeds that of children for the first time. The population declined for the fourth consecutive year in 2025, and the birth rate reached a record low level.
This demographic shift forces Beijing to manage the aging of its population.
The entry into force of European regulations against deforestation could eliminate outlets for small Ethiopian coffee producers. Many of them would be unable to comply.
A European environmental rule can weaken the economy of small producers in a third country.
Israeli legislative elections end without clear majority, Lula wins in Brazil and student movement beats government in Serbia.
Israeli legislative elections ended without a clear majority. According to provisional results, Benjamin Netanyahu's camp is in sharp decline, but the opposition led by Gadi Eisenkot fails to unseat him. Neither bloc is able to form a majority, and both leaders say they are ready to govern. Turnout was record, particularly among Arab voters.
This election, the first since Hamas attacks on October 7, 2023, leaves the country in political deadlock.
Trailing in the first round, Lula won Sunday's Brazilian presidential election against Flavio Bolsonaro, an unprecedented reversal since the return of direct suffrage in 1989. The president called his opponent's departure from the country 'shameful'.
This unprecedented reversal since 1989 keeps Lula in power and opens a period of uncertainty around his defeated opponent.
Two days after his defeat, senator Flavio Bolsonaro left Brazil with his family, despite an order from the Supreme Court prohibiting him from doing so. Implicated in corruption cases, he refused to return his passports. He joined the United States, according to the press, and a senior American official indicated that Washington would grant him a visa.
The flight of a defeated candidate, targeted by investigations, directly defies Brazilian justice.
The protest movement led by students won a historic victory Sunday in Serbian legislative elections, beating the party of departing president Aleksandar Vucic, who acknowledged his defeat on October 25. Brussels welcomed the result.
The defeat of a nationalist leader, considered one of Russia's main supporters in Europe, raises the question of Serbia's relationship with the EU and with Moscow.
Yemen's Houthis, allies of Iran, say they struck Saudi Arabia's largest oil refinery with a missile. Explosions were heard in Riyadh, where Saudi authorities say they shot down Houthi missiles. The kingdom has been subjected to strikes against oil and civilian sites for weeks.
These attacks target the world's second-largest crude producer and revive risks to oil supply.
Finnish President Alexander Stubb and Norwegian Prime Minister Jonas Gahr Store spoke by telephone with Vladimir Putin to open a channel of discussion. Denmark reproaches them for playing 'solo'. Mr. Stubb believes an end to the conflict in Ukraine 'will not be achieved by silence'.
The initiative fractures the united European front on Ukraine.
European intelligence services are concerned about the persistence of an Iranian threat in Europe: assassination plots, arson, sabotage and cyberattacks. Two Britons have also been charged in the United Kingdom for helping Iran regarding an incident at an air base.
The threat described is durable and global, according to European services.
A week before the November 3 vote, the White House seeks to encroach on states' role in organizing elections. Donald Trump says he will accept results if they are 'honest', while raising never-proven fraud claims.
The president raises the possibility of contesting the result if his party, predicted to lose by polls, is defeated.
Markets remain calm, with stock exchanges up in New York and Asia, VIX at 17.5, Brent at 111.4 dollars down 2.18% and natural gas up sharply 13.61%.
The CAC 40 gains 0.51% to 7,887.14 points, the DAX 0.71% and the Nasdaq 1.18%. The S&P 500 advances 0.6% and the Nikkei 1.08%, while the FTSE 100 falls 0.75%. The VIX remains at 17.5. AI stocks rebound after Anthropic's IPO filing.
Investors continue to bet on AI, even if some worry about a bubble.
Natural gas advances 13.61% to 3.06 dollars. Brent falls 2.18% to 111.4 dollars, after a rise of over 1% linked to the attack on the Saudi refinery. Gold loses 0.69% to 4,046.6 dollars and the euro falls 0.45% against the dollar.
Energy remains volatile, amid Houthi attacks on Saudi Arabia.
The Federal Reserve, led by Kevin Warsh, should not raise its rates despite high inflation. It wants to bring inflation back to its 2% target.
The decision weighs on the cost of credit and spending in the United States.
After obtaining from China a cap on its hybrid car exports, European finance and banking officials will travel to Beijing in coming months for discussions on currencies. Chinese hybrid car exports to the EU have increased 200%.
Brussels fears a new trade shock from China.
Chancellor John Healey presents his fiscal plans on October 28. He has already announced measures to help households with the cost of living and a raise in the minimum wage, with no additional increase for 18-20 year-olds.
This first budget by Mr. Healey is awaited by both households and small businesses.
In France, the 2027 budget is at the heart of the news. Retirees would be the first losers of the initial version, according to the French Institute of Economics. Measures for high school and university students would cost just under 500 million euros. The French are also gripped by gloom: household morale is at its lowest since June 2013, according to INSEE.
Budget decisions directly affect households, while morale is at its lowest.
The IMF reached a preliminary agreement with Argentina following the third review of the program. It paves the way for a payment of approximately 900 million dollars, subject to final approval by the Fund's board of directors.
This support validates Javier Milei's economic policy, but the Fund's tone on a return to international markets is more cautious.
Last close recorded for the briefing of 28 October 2026 (crypto: price at publication time, in US dollars). Information only, not financial advice. All markets and charts →
Deterministic data, calculated by threshold or taken as-is from official sources — never judged by the model.
| Value | Close | Change |
|---|---|---|
| CAC 40 | 7,887.14 | ↑ +0.51 % |
| DAX | 25,590.77 | ↑ +0.71 % |
| FTSE 100 | 10,686.54 | ↓ -0.75 % |
| S&P 500 | 7,722.6 | ↑ +0.60 % |
| Nasdaq | 26,477.81 | ↑ +1.18 % |
| Nikkei 225 | 63,954.19 | ↑ +1.08 % |
| Hang Seng | 23,103.89 | ↑ +0.27 % |
| VIX | 17.5 | ↓ -0.11 % |
| Petrole Brent | 111.4 | ↓ -2.18 % |
| Gaz naturel | 3.06 | ↑ +13.61 % |
| Or | 4,046.6 | ↓ -0.69 % |
| EUR/USD | 1.11 | ↓ -0.45 % |
General, non-personalized information. Does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell.
| Value | Price | 24h change |
|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | 80,841 USD | ↑ +1.50 % |
| Ethereum | 2,351.74 USD | ↑ +1.99 % |
| BNB | 743.94 USD | ↑ +1.17 % |
| Solana | 101.87 USD | ↑ +2.25 % |
| XRP | 1.32 USD | ↑ +1.94 % |
aucun seuil franchi, marchés crypto calmes
General, non-personalized information. Does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell.
A combined reading of traffic through strategic straits and energy prices: two signals of the same possible tension on global supply chains. The more severe of the two prevails.
| Value | Price | Change |
|---|---|---|
| Petrole Brent | 111.4 USD | ↓ -2.18 % |
| Gaz naturel | 3.06 USD | ↑ +13.61 % |
Gaz naturel en hausse de 13.61 % sur la séance
Daily movement on the consolidated lists of OFAC (US Treasury) and the UN Security Council: the total almost never moves from one day to the next — the signal is the new entries since the last reading.
No new entries since the last reading.
19,471 entries tracked at OFAC (US Treasury) · 1,007 entries tracked at the UN
115 ransomware claim(s) recorded worldwide over the last 48 hours (source: RansomLook). These are claims made by criminal groups on their own leak sites, never independently verified.
First Dental
the gentlemen claims to have compromised this organization.
Ryder
whitearmor claims to have compromised this organization.
wagyu.xyz unfairness
whitearmor claims to have compromised this organization.
Echo.com
whitearmor claims to have compromised this organization.
https://t.me/whitearmorxd
whitearmor claims to have compromised this organization.
Machelen (Belgium)
rhysida claims to have compromised this organization.
Significant internet outages detected by IODA (Georgia Tech) over the last 48h.
The background to that day's news: public data (conflicts, earthquakes, commodities, agenda). They are not part of the colours or the risk index.
Major central bank decisions and national elections in the following weeks, as known that day.
Bulgaria · President (2nd round)
United States · Senate and House of Representatives
Grenada · Parliament
New Zealand · Parliament
Cape Verde · President
Spain · Senate and Congress of Deputies
Switzerland · ReferendumsSource : Fed, ECB, Wikipedia (electoral calendar)
13,286 estimated deaths · 43 countries
Ukraine
6,202
Yemen
2,924
Pakistan
667
Ethiopia
609
Nigeria
451
Sudan
277
Mexico
262Central estimate, provisional monthly data; change versus the previous month.
187 of magnitude 4.5+ · 6 of 6+
China
22 October · orange alert
Vanuatu
24 OctoberVanuatu
24 OctoberVanuatu
25 OctoberSource : USGS (public domain) ↗
Monthly average world prices in US dollars; indices 2010 = 100.
| Level | 1 month | 1 year | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Energy | 149 | +25.7 % | +70.0 % |
| Food | 124 | +3.8 % | +15.8 % |
| Fertilizers | 147 | +0.4 % | −1.7 % |
| Base metals | 166 | +0.8 % | +35.1 % |
| Precious metals | 339 | −1.9 % | +22.6 % |
| Level | 1 month | 1 year | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brent crude | 117 $/bbl | +28.5 % | +71.8 % |
| Natural gas (Europe) | 25.42 $/MMBtu | +20.4 % | +128.6 % |
| Wheat | 347 $/t | +5.2 % | +48.4 % |
| Maize | 240 $/t | +7.0 % | +21.4 % |
| Rice | 482 $/t | +2.3 % | +28.9 % |
| Cocoa | 5.92 $/kg | −0.5 % | −15.8 % |
| Arabica coffee | 7.26 $/kg | −8.9 % | −17.8 % |
| Copper | 14,474 $/t | +1.0 % | +45.0 % |
| Gold | 4,319 $/oz | −2.1 % | +17.7 % |
Source : World Bank, Pink Sheet (CC BY 4.0) ↗
Brazil
Serbia
Saudi Arabia
Finland
Norway
Iran
United Kingdom
France
Argentina