5 events over the last 56 published days.
A dangerous country for a visitor, and economic and social fragilities.
Safety 70 + Economy 52 ÷ 2 = 61
The overall score is the average of the two detailed scores below. Each score runs from 0 (nothing to report) to 100 (extreme situation): calm under 30, tension from 30 to 59, crisis from 60. The calculation is fixed and the same for every country: no AI gives its opinion.
What it measures: the danger for someone travelling to the country right now (crime, terrorism, unrest, disasters, epidemics).
What it does not measure: the state of the economy, daily life for residents or long-term political stability.
| Criterion | Today | Scale | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Canadian and US travel advisories | “Avoid all travel” · United States: level 4 of 4 | average of both advisories, from 0 (normal precautions) to 70 (do not travel) | 70/70 |
| Ongoing disaster (GDACS) | no alert | orange alert 8, red 15 | 0 |
| Reported epidemic (WHO, 30 days) | none | common disease 6, severe disease 10 | 0 |
| Internet outage (IODA) | none | outage 5, major outage 8 | 0 |
| In today's news | not cited | World 2, Geopolitics 4 | 0 |
In short: the score comes from travel advisories (70 points out of 70); no ongoing event adds to it.
Score based on advisories written for foreign travellers: it does not describe everyday life there.
What it measures: how fragile the country is: public finances, jobs, prices, lender confidence and protest in the streets.
What it does not measure: the danger for a visitor, nor the future: it is neither a forecast nor financial advice.
| Criterion | Value | Scale | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Public debt · what the state owes, relative to a year of output | 334.4% of GDP | 0 up to 60% of GDP, 15 from 150% of GDP | 15/15 |
| Budget deficit · what the state spends beyond its revenue | −3.9% of GDP | 0 from −3% of GDP, 10 at −8% of GDP or below | 1.8/10 |
| Growth · increase in output | 7% | 0 from 2%, 10 at −2% or below | 0/10 |
| Unemployment · share of the labour force without a job | 59.5% | 0 up to 5%, 10 from 15% | 10/10 |
| Inflation · price rise over a year | 41.3% | 0 up to 3%, 15 from 30% | 15/15 |
| Spread over Germany · extra cost of borrowing over 10 years, a sign of lender confidence | euro area only: not counted for this country | 0 up to 0.5 pt, 20 from 3 pts | — |
| Protests and strikes · in the news over the last 7 days | 0 events in our briefings 0.4% of GDELT events | average of two measures: our briefings (1 event = 6 points, 5 or more = 20) and the share of protests in GDELT (0 up to 2%, 20 from 10%) | 0/20 |
In short: what weighs most is high debt, inflation and unemployment. Not weighing: growth and protests.
Score calculated on 6 of 7 criteria: the points obtained are scaled to 100.
Score published since 23 October 2026: the chart fills in day by day.
Sources: Canadian and US travel advisories, GDACS, WHO, IODA · IMF World Economic Outlook (2026 projections) · ECB, 10-year borrowing rates (September 2026) · GDELT (last 7 days) · Horizon briefings. Full method →
This country in the news web (3D) →
21 October 2026 World South Sudan
A drone strike on a market in the Abyei region, on the border between Sudan and South Sudan, killed at least 153 people according to a local official. Local authorities accuse the Sudanese army of firing 22 munitions, and the nearby fuel depot was also hit. Death tolls vary depending on sources.
20 October 2026 Geopolitics
A drone attack killed three children in Khartoum on October 19, according to Emergency Lawyers. Dozens of civilians were also killed in Kordofan.
11 October 2026 World
A drone strike attributed to Sudanese paramilitaries killed 41 displaced persons near the Ethiopian border, according to a human rights organization. Eight children were reportedly among the victims.
17 September 2026 World
The collapse of a gold mine in Sudan has killed at least 82 people, with many missing. Rescue efforts are struggling, with only one private forklift available for search operations.
9 September 2026 World
The Médecins Sans Frontières organisation is warning of the imminent collapse of Sudan's health system following funding cuts, calling on world leaders to increase aid for the millions of people in need.
Today's risk score, highest first.
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