18 September 2026 World
Recurring floods in Tunis
Heavy rains disrupted daily life in the Tunisian capital, trapping motorists and residents and raising once again the question of drainage and transport.
Overall score
28/100
Calm
- Over 7 days
- = stable
- Since 23 Oct.
- ▼ −6
- Rank
- 33rd of 193 countries tied
- Updated
- 2 Nov.
No particular danger for a visitor, but economic and social fragilities.
Safety 23 + Economy 32 ÷ 2 = 28
The overall score is the average of the two detailed scores below. Each score runs from 0 (nothing to report) to 100 (extreme situation): calm under 30, tension from 30 to 59, crisis from 60. The calculation is fixed and the same for every country: no AI gives its opinion.
Safety on the ground
23/100 CalmWhat it measures: the danger for someone travelling to the country right now (crime, terrorism, unrest, disasters, epidemics).
What it does not measure: the state of the economy, daily life for residents or long-term political stability.
| Criterion | Today | Scale | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Canadian and US travel advisories | “Exercise a high degree of caution (with regional advisories)” · United States: level 2 of 4 | average of both advisories, from 0 (normal precautions) to 70 (do not travel) | 23.3/70 |
| Ongoing disaster (GDACS) | no alert | orange alert 8, red 15 | 0 |
| Reported epidemic (WHO, 30 days) | none | common disease 6, severe disease 10 | 0 |
| Internet outage (IODA) | none | outage 5, major outage 8 | 0 |
| In today's news | not cited | World 2, Geopolitics 4 | 0 |
In short: the score comes from travel advisories (23.3 points out of 70); no ongoing event adds to it.
Where the data comes from: Global Affairs Canada (travel advice) · US Department of State (travel advisories) · GDACS (UN and EU disaster alerts) · WHO (Disease Outbreak News, 30 days) · IODA, Georgia Tech (internet outages) · Horizon briefing of the day.
Score based on advisories written for foreign travellers: it does not describe everyday life there.
Economy and society
32/100 TensionWhat it measures: how fragile the country is: public finances, jobs, prices, lender confidence and protest in the streets.
What it does not measure: the danger for a visitor, nor the future: it is neither a forecast nor financial advice.
| Criterion | Value | Scale | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Public debt · what the state owes, relative to a year of output | 86.1% of GDP | 0 up to 60% of GDP, 15 from 150% of GDP | 4.3/15 |
| Budget deficit · what the state spends beyond its revenue | −8.6% of GDP | 0 from −3% of GDP, 10 at −8% of GDP or below | 10/10 |
| Growth · increase in output | 2.4% | 0 from 2%, 10 at −2% or below | 0/10 |
| Unemployment · share of the labour force without a job | 15.2% (2025 value) | 0 up to 5%, 10 from 15% | 10/10 |
| Inflation · price rise over a year | 5.5% | 0 up to 3%, 15 from 30% | 1.4/15 |
| Spread over Germany · extra cost of borrowing over 10 years, a sign of lender confidence | euro area only: not counted for this country | 0 up to 0.5 pt, 20 from 3 pts | — |
| Protests and strikes · in the news over the last 7 days | 0 events in our briefings GDELT: too little data | average of two measures: our briefings (1 event = 6 points, 5 or more = 20) and the share of protests in GDELT (0 up to 2%, 20 from 10%) | 0/20 |
In short: what weighs most is budget deficit, unemployment and high debt. Not weighing: growth and protests.
Where the data comes from: IMF, World Economic Outlook (2026 forecasts): debt, deficit, growth, inflation, unemployment · ECB, 10-year government bond yields (September 2026), euro area only · GDELT Project (protest events, 7 days) · Horizon briefings of the last 7 days.
Score calculated on 6 of 7 criteria: the points obtained are scaled to 100.
Scores over time
Other countries: Africa
Today's risk score, highest first.
Democratic Republic of the Congo 82Burkina Faso 70Central African Republic 70Libya 70Mali 70Niger 70Somalia 70South Sudan 70Sudan 70Chad 58Uganda 58Nigeria 57Burundi 47Ethiopia 47Mauritania 47Kenya 45Eritrea 35Algeria 23Angola 23Benin 23Cameroon 23Congo 23Djibouti 23Egypt 23Gabon 23Ghana 23Guinea 23Ivory Coast 23Liberia 23Madagascar 23Morocco 23Mozambique 23Rwanda 23Sierra Leone 23South Africa 23Tanzania 23Togo 23Zimbabwe 23Senegal 12Zambia 0
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