9 events over the last 60 published days.
No particular danger for a visitor, and an economic and social situation without notable strain.
Safety 27 + Economy 24 ÷ 2 = 26
The overall score is the average of the two detailed scores below. Each score runs from 0 (nothing to report) to 100 (extreme situation): calm under 30, tension from 30 to 59, crisis from 60. The calculation is fixed and the same for every country: no AI gives its opinion.
What it measures: the danger for someone travelling to the country right now (crime, terrorism, unrest, disasters, epidemics).
What it does not measure: the state of the economy, daily life for residents or long-term political stability.
| Criterion | Today | Scale | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Canadian and US travel advisories | “Exercise a high degree of caution” · United States: level 2 of 4 | average of both advisories, from 0 (normal precautions) to 70 (do not travel) | 23.3/70 |
| Ongoing disaster (GDACS) | no alert | orange alert 8, red 15 | 0 |
| Reported epidemic (WHO, 30 days) | none | common disease 6, severe disease 10 | 0 |
| Internet outage (IODA) | none | outage 5, major outage 8 | 0 |
| In today's news | In today's Geopolitics | World 2, Geopolitics 4 | 4 |
In short: the score comes from travel advisories (23.3 points out of 70); added on top: In today's Geopolitics (+4).
Where the data comes from: Global Affairs Canada (travel advice) · US Department of State (travel advisories) · GDACS (UN and EU disaster alerts) · WHO (Disease Outbreak News, 30 days) · IODA, Georgia Tech (internet outages) · Horizon briefing of the day.
Score based on advisories written for foreign travellers: it does not describe everyday life there.
What it measures: how fragile the country is: public finances, jobs, prices, lender confidence and protest in the streets.
What it does not measure: the danger for a visitor, nor the future: it is neither a forecast nor financial advice.
| Criterion | Value | Scale | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Public debt · what the state owes, relative to a year of output | 78% of GDP | 0 up to 60% of GDP, 15 from 150% of GDP | 3/15 |
| Budget deficit · what the state spends beyond its revenue | −4.4% of GDP | 0 from −3% of GDP, 10 at −8% of GDP or below | 2.8/10 |
| Growth · increase in output | 1% | 0 from 2%, 10 at −2% or below | 2.5/10 |
| Unemployment · share of the labour force without a job | 33.2% | 0 up to 5%, 10 from 15% | 10/10 |
| Inflation · price rise over a year | 4.4% | 0 up to 3%, 15 from 30% | 0.8/15 |
| Spread over Germany · extra cost of borrowing over 10 years, a sign of lender confidence | euro area only: not counted for this country | 0 up to 0.5 pt, 20 from 3 pts | — |
| Protests and strikes · in the news over the last 7 days | 0 events in our briefings 1.8% of GDELT events | average of two measures: our briefings (1 event = 6 points, 5 or more = 20) and the share of protests in GDELT (0 up to 2%, 20 from 10%) | 0/20 |
In short: what weighs most is unemployment, budget deficit and weak growth. Not weighing: protests.
Where the data comes from: IMF, World Economic Outlook (2026 forecasts): debt, deficit, growth, inflation, unemployment · ECB, 10-year government bond yields (September 2026), euro area only · GDELT Project (protest events, 7 days) · Horizon briefings of the last 7 days.
Score calculated on 6 of 7 criteria: the points obtained are scaled to 100.
This country in the news web (3D) →
6 November 2026 Geopolitics
According to partial results, the African National Congress, in power since 1994, is heading for the worst electoral result in its history. The scores published after counting more than half the polling stations show it in sharp decline.
5 November 2026 Geopolitics
Vote counting is underway in South Africa, where a record 29.2 million people were registered on the electoral rolls.
4 November 2026 Geopolitics
South Africans vote Wednesday in municipal elections, considered a test for the ruling ANC. Polls suggest a score below 40%, in a context of water shortages, power cuts, degraded roads and insecurity.
3 November 2026 Geopolitics Rwanda
Donald Trump will remove Rwanda and South Africa from an American trade agreement, barely a week after US Treasury sanctions against Rwanda's Defense Ministry.
11 October 2026 Geopolitics
New anti-migrant protests have resumed in South Africa. The government announced the withdrawal of a circular on asylum applications, but the announcement did not ease anger.
10 October 2026 Geopolitics
The 2026 Nobel Peace Prize goes to South African jurist Navi Pillay, 85, former ICC judge and UN High Commissioner for Human Rights. Donald Trump criticized the decision and said he had never heard of her, calling it a « stain » on Norway.
9 October 2026 World
New violence erupted between anti-migrant groups and foreign nationals in South Africa. It followed a demonstration demanding that a refugee center stop processing asylum applications. The government blames misinformation.
2 October 2026 World
Since July, bodies of naked or half-naked women, violently beaten, have been found in the suburbs of Johannesburg. The serial predator theory is weakening, but the reality of extreme violence against women remains.
22 September 2026 World
The discovery of ten women's bodies over the past two months in the Johannesburg suburbs reignites anger in South Africa, where femicides are among the highest in the world. Two people have been charged with the murder of one of the victims.
Today's risk score, highest first.
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