4 October 2026
Briefing for 4 October 2026. Ebola: the most severe epidemic in DRC history · Brazil: Lula and Flavio Bolsonaro neck and neck · Hong Kong: IPOs double in nine months
A severe Ebola epidemic in DRC, a missing medical plane and tornadoes in Australia dominated a day without exceptional disaster.
France's top diplomat, Jean-Noël Barrot, pleaded Saturday for strengthened support for the response to the most severe Ebola epidemic in DRC history. He arrived Saturday October 3 in Ituri province, presented as the epicenter of the epidemic.
This is the most severe Ebola epidemic ever recorded in DRC, and the visit of a French minister calls for increased international effort.
Debris was found after the disappearance of a Canadian-registered ambulance plane that was flying from Bermuda to Boston, with six people on board. Flight data shows the aircraft lost altitude after ceasing to communicate with air traffic control. Air traffic control audio recordings indicate it may have flown "blind" due to electrical problems, with a storm ahead of it.
The debris found leaves little hope for the six occupants and opens an investigation into the causes of the accident.
A tornado swept through the small town of Ulladulla in New South Wales, felling trees and signs and tearing off roofs. Two houses became uninhabitable, but no one was injured according to residents. Storms and heavy rain affected much of eastern and southern Australia.
The phenomenon is rare and damage is significant, but the absence of injuries limits the severity of the event.
Australia3 sources
Nolo became a category 3 hurricane in an isolated area of the Pacific. Its maximum sustained winds quickly reached 185 km/h, according to the National Hurricane Center based in Miami.
The rapid intensification of the storm warrants monitoring, even though it is evolving in an isolated area.
In Indonesia, residents of West Kalimantan are suing the government over persistent smoke haze, the worst fire season in 11 years. In Malaysia, six zones in Johor state recorded unhealthy air quality, with Batu Pahat being the most affected.
Air pollution is affecting the health of residents in several countries in the region.
A magnitude 5.9 earthquake struck the Sumbawa region in Indonesia, at 10 km depth according to GFZ. A magnitude 5.8 earthquake also hit northern Sumatra, with no tsunami threat to Malaysia.
Two notable tremors in one day in a region with high seismic activity.
Indonesia3 sources
Large hailstones struck neighborhoods in Paraguay's capital, breaking windows and denting cars.
The episode caused extensive material damage in the Paraguayan capital.
Paraguay1 source
Ethiopian federal troops entered Mekele, Russia strikes a second Kiev bridge and Houthis target an Aramco site in Riyadh.
Brazilians vote Sunday in the first round of the presidential election. Left-wing President Lula, 80, is seeking a fourth non-consecutive term against Flavio Bolsonaro. Latest polls show a narrowing gap, and no candidate is expected to win in the first round. A second round is scheduled for October 25.
The election pits two visions for Latin America's largest economy, in a climate where the question of American interference weighs on the campaign.
Ethiopian federal troops entered Saturday in Mekele, capital of the Tigray regional state, largely abandoned earlier by rebel forces. Fighting broke out on September 23 when the Tigray People's Liberation Front launched attacks toward neighboring states.
The capture of the Tigray capital marks a turning point in the offensive and revives fears of a return to devastating war.
Ethiopia4 sources
Russia struck the North Bridge in Kiev, after repeated attacks on another major bridge in the capital. It again called Saturday for diplomats and foreigners to leave the city, announcing "retaliatory strikes". Ukraine responds by announcing intensified strikes on Russian refineries.
Targeting Kiev bridges is a first since the start of the war and aims to push residents to leave the city.
Yemeni Houthis claim to have targeted Saturday a site of oil giant Aramco in Riyadh, from which flames rose. They blame the Saudi military for 26 air raids on Sanaa. The spokesman for the Saudi-led coalition calls these claims "misleading". The Riyadh-backed Yemeni army says it killed 700 Houthis in 24 hours.
Hostilities between Houthis and Saudi Arabia have resumed since July and target energy infrastructure.
Yemen
Saudi Arabia4 sources
The party of outgoing Prime Minister Andris Kulbergs comes first in legislative elections with approximately 40 seats out of 100 and should be able to form a coalition. The populist Latvia First party is gaining ground.
The result reinforces a pro-European and pro-Ukrainian line in a country bordering Russia.
Latvia2 sources
Bosnian voters vote Sunday in a country still deeply divided between Bosniaks, Serbs and Croats. Confidence in parties is eroding, their promises remaining vague.
The election takes place in one of the world's most complex political systems, and remains a test for the country's stability.
Bosnia and Herzegovina3 sources
The investigation established that the Omani copilot of the Dubai-Tel Aviv flight used the cockpit emergency axe to attack the pilot, and speaks of a "terrorist act". The UAE Attorney General confirmed the attempt. Oman Air had banned him from flying for his "radical ideological opinions". Australian authorities are investigating his links to Australia.
The investigation officially qualifies the attack as a terrorist act, and the case extends to checks in Australia.
United Arab Emirates
Oman4 sources
German Chancellor Friedrich Merz arrived Sunday morning in Kiev, accompanied by the Minister of Economy and Energy, Katherina Reiche. The visit comes as the capital is undergoing heavy Russian attacks and tensions persist over Ukraine's prospects for EU membership.
The trip testifies to German support for Ukraine as a feared winter approaches.
European and American markets advance at the last session, but the Hang Seng falls 2.6% and Brent remains at 102.25 dollars.
Funds raised by initial public offerings in Hong Kong more than doubled in one year to exceed 388 billion Hong Kong dollars (49.4 billion US dollars) in the first nine months of 2026. This amount already exceeds last year's total, according to Paul Chan.
The result contrasts with the 2.6% decline in the Hang Seng at the last session.
The Vietnamese economy grew 9.95% in the third quarter, its fastest pace in four years.
A growth rate rarely achieved for an economy of this size.
Vietnam1 source
Renault announces an investment of over 10 billion euros over five years in electric vehicles in France. The manufacturer plans to increase its French production by over 25% in 2026 compared to last year.
The investment commits a major French manufacturer for the long term to electric vehicles.
France1 source
Treasurer Jim Chalmers indicates that the government is seeking to "tighten" the budget as borrowing costs rise, making cost of living aid unlikely this year. He estimates that Australia should avoid recession, and points to pressure from the Middle East conflict. The Reserve Bank just raised its rates.
Rising rates and budget pressure are weighing on Australian households.
Australia3 sources
After a difficult week on markets, mistrust is growing about France's ability to solve its budget equation. Economy Minister Roland Lescure mentions the challenge of "avoiding the worst" in preparing the 2027 budget, which is already facing opposition from the left.
Market distrust of French debt directly concerns the country's public finances.
France2 sources
Approximately one-sixth of the strategic oil reserves of International Energy Agency member states have been sold off since March.
These reserves serve as a buffer in case of crisis, while Brent remains at 102.25 dollars.
Last close recorded for the briefing of 4 October 2026 (crypto: price at publication time, in US dollars). Information only, not financial advice. All markets and charts →
Deterministic data, calculated by threshold or taken as-is from official sources — never judged by the model.
| Value | Close | Change |
|---|---|---|
| CAC 40 | 7,897.19 | ↑ +0.79 % |
| DAX | 25,231.2 | ↑ +1.17 % |
| FTSE 100 | 10,461.95 | ↑ +0.32 % |
| S&P 500 | 7,722.72 | ↑ +0.73 % |
| Nasdaq | 27,190.86 | ↑ +1.19 % |
| Nikkei 225 | 68,309.46 | ↓ -0.94 % |
| Hang Seng | 23,972.29 | ↓ -2.60 % |
| VIX | 15.31 | ↓ -6.59 % |
| Petrole Brent | 102.25 | ↓ -0.06 % |
| Gaz naturel | 3.04 | ↑ +2.29 % |
| Or | 4,162.3 | ↓ -0.95 % |
| EUR/USD | 1.13 | ↑ +0.06 % |
General, non-personalized information. Does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell.
| Value | Price | 24h change |
|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | 84,915 USD | ↑ +0.33 % |
| Ethereum | 2,691.34 USD | ↑ +0.48 % |
| BNB | 787.69 USD | ↑ +2.79 % |
| Solana | 120.69 USD | ↑ +0.79 % |
| XRP | 1.49 USD | ↑ +0.43 % |
aucun seuil franchi, marches crypto calmes
General, non-personalized information. Does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell.
A combined reading of traffic through strategic straits and energy prices: two signals of the same possible tension on global supply chains. The more severe of the two prevails.
| Value | Price | Change |
|---|---|---|
| Petrole Brent | 102.25 USD | ↓ -0.06 % |
| Gaz naturel | 3.04 USD | ↑ +2.29 % |
Ormuz — trafic a 50% de la normale (donnee du 2026-09-27)
Daily movement on the consolidated lists of OFAC (US Treasury) and the UN Security Council: the total almost never moves from one day to the next — the signal is the new entries since the last reading.
No new entries since the last reading.
19,488 entries tracked at OFAC (US Treasury) · 1,011 entries tracked at the UN
38 ransomware claim(s) recorded worldwide over the last 48 hours (source: RansomLook). These are claims made by criminal groups on their own leak sites, never independently verified.
Center State Engineering
the gentlemen claims to have compromised this organization.
World Cup 2034
wallstreet claims to have compromised this organization.
St. Francis Healthcare Systems of Hawaii
wallstreet claims to have compromised this organization.
Skaff Group
rhysida claims to have compromised this organization.
Genesis Credit Management
qilin claims to have compromised this organization.
SEVEN SEAS GROUP
spirals claims to have compromised this organization.
Significant internet outages detected by IODA (Georgia Tech) over the last 48h.
Malaysia
Ukraine
Russia
Germany