6 events over the last 60 published days.
No particular danger for a visitor, and an economic and social situation without notable strain.
Safety 12 + Economy 5 ÷ 2 = 8
The overall score is the average of the two detailed scores below. Each score runs from 0 (nothing to report) to 100 (extreme situation): calm under 30, tension from 30 to 59, crisis from 60. The calculation is fixed and the same for every country: no AI gives its opinion.
What it measures: the danger for someone travelling to the country right now (crime, terrorism, unrest, disasters, epidemics).
What it does not measure: the state of the economy, daily life for residents or long-term political stability.
| Criterion | Today | Scale | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Canadian and US travel advisories | “Exercise a high degree of caution” · United States: level 1 of 4 | average of both advisories, from 0 (normal precautions) to 70 (do not travel) | 11.7/70 |
| Ongoing disaster (GDACS) | no alert | orange alert 8, red 15 | 0 |
| Reported epidemic (WHO, 30 days) | none | common disease 6, severe disease 10 | 0 |
| Internet outage (IODA) | none | outage 5, major outage 8 | 0 |
| In today's news | not cited | World 2, Geopolitics 4 | 0 |
In short: the score comes from travel advisories (11.7 points out of 70); no ongoing event adds to it.
Where the data comes from: Global Affairs Canada (travel advice) · US Department of State (travel advisories) · GDACS (UN and EU disaster alerts) · WHO (Disease Outbreak News, 30 days) · IODA, Georgia Tech (internet outages) · Horizon briefing of the day.
Score based on advisories written for foreign travellers: it does not describe everyday life there.
What it measures: how fragile the country is: public finances, jobs, prices, lender confidence and protest in the streets.
What it does not measure: the danger for a visitor, nor the future: it is neither a forecast nor financial advice.
| Criterion | Value | Scale | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Public debt · what the state owes, relative to a year of output | 36.6% of GDP | 0 up to 60% of GDP, 15 from 150% of GDP | 0/15 |
| Budget deficit · what the state spends beyond its revenue | −3.1% of GDP | 0 from −3% of GDP, 10 at −8% of GDP or below | 0.2/10 |
| Growth · increase in output | 4.5% | 0 from 2%, 10 at −2% or below | 0/10 |
| Unemployment · share of the labour force without a job | 4.7% | 0 up to 5%, 10 from 15% | 0/10 |
| Inflation · price rise over a year | 3.1% | 0 up to 3%, 15 from 30% | 0.1/15 |
| Spread over Germany · extra cost of borrowing over 10 years, a sign of lender confidence | euro area only: not counted for this country | 0 up to 0.5 pt, 20 from 3 pts | — |
| Protests and strikes · in the news over the last 7 days | 1 event in our briefings 2.7% of GDELT events | average of two measures: our briefings (1 event = 6 points, 5 or more = 20) and the share of protests in GDELT (0 up to 2%, 20 from 10%) | 3.9/20 |
In short: what weighs most is no criterion in particular. Not weighing: public debt, growth and unemployment.
Where the data comes from: IMF, World Economic Outlook (2026 forecasts): debt, deficit, growth, inflation, unemployment · ECB, 10-year government bond yields (September 2026), euro area only · GDELT Project (protest events, 7 days) · Horizon briefings of the last 7 days.
Score calculated on 6 of 7 criteria: the points obtained are scaled to 100.
This country in the news web (3D) →
9 November 2026 Markets
Paraguay's central bank took control of Ueno Bank, an online bank, leaving nearly three million Paraguayans without access to their balance. The affair led to the removal of President Santiago Peña, placed in preventive detention.
8 November 2026 Geopolitics
Removed from office Friday by the Senate, Santiago Peña was indicted for 'breach of trust' in the Ueno Bank collapse case, and held in preventive detention Saturday in a military facility of the presidential guard. Vice President Pedro Alliana now leads the country.
7 November 2026 Geopolitics
The Paraguayan Senate removed President Santiago Peña from office Friday evening for his responsibility in the Ueno bank scandal, which blocked deposits of nearly... several million customers. His vice president Pedro Alliana was sworn in as president. Peña was then placed under house arrest and transferred under military protection.
6 November 2026 Geopolitics
After the collapse of Ueno bank, President Santiago Peña announced his resignation on Thursday, but he technically remains at the head of State due to lack of quorum in Parliament. The Chamber of Deputies voted unanimously for his impeachment. Peña said he would appear before the Senate to defend himself, while Argentina denies his entry into its territory. Taiwan says its relations with Paraguay are not affected.
5 November 2026 Markets
The Central Bank of Paraguay took control of Ueno Bank, one of the country's largest, after its solvency ratio fell below 50% of the legal minimum, and froze all its assets and liabilities. The bank has 3 million customers. Protests erupted in the country. The Senate approved a reform of the deposit guarantee law allowing customers to receive an advance.
4 October 2026 World
Large hailstones struck neighborhoods in Paraguay's capital, breaking windows and denting cars.
Today's risk score, highest first.
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