3 events over the last 60 published days.
No particular danger for a visitor, and an economic and social situation without notable strain.
Safety 23 + Economy 13 ÷ 2 = 18
The overall score is the average of the two detailed scores below. Each score runs from 0 (nothing to report) to 100 (extreme situation): calm under 30, tension from 30 to 59, crisis from 60. The calculation is fixed and the same for every country: no AI gives its opinion.
What it measures: the danger for someone travelling to the country right now (crime, terrorism, unrest, disasters, epidemics).
What it does not measure: the state of the economy, daily life for residents or long-term political stability.
| Criterion | Today | Scale | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Canadian and US travel advisories | “Exercise a high degree of caution” · United States: level 2 of 4 | average of both advisories, from 0 (normal precautions) to 70 (do not travel) | 23.3/70 |
| Ongoing disaster (GDACS) | no alert | orange alert 8, red 15 | 0 |
| Reported epidemic (WHO, 30 days) | none | common disease 6, severe disease 10 | 0 |
| Internet outage (Cloudflare Radar) | none | outage 5, major outage 8 | 0 |
| In today's news | not cited | World 2, Geopolitics 4 | 0 |
In short: the score comes from travel advisories (23.3 points out of 70); no ongoing event adds to it.
Where the data comes from: Global Affairs Canada (travel advice) · US Department of State (travel advisories) · GDACS (UN and EU disaster alerts) · WHO (Disease Outbreak News, 30 days) · IODA, Georgia Tech (internet outages) · Cloudflare Radar, outage center (verified internet outages) · Horizon briefing of the day.
Score based on advisories written for foreign travellers: it does not describe everyday life there.
What it measures: how fragile the country is: public finances, jobs, prices, lender confidence and protest in the streets.
What it does not measure: the danger for a visitor, nor the future: it is neither a forecast nor financial advice.
| Criterion | Value | Scale | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Public debt · what the state owes, relative to a year of output | 31.4% of GDP | 0 up to 60% of GDP, 15 from 150% of GDP | 0/15 |
| Budget deficit · what the state spends beyond its revenue | −4.2% of GDP | 0 from −3% of GDP, 10 at −8% of GDP or below | 2.4/10 |
| Growth · increase in output | 2.3% | 0 from 2%, 10 at −2% or below | 0/10 |
| Unemployment · share of the labour force without a job | 12.2% | 0 up to 5%, 10 from 15% | 7.2/10 |
| Inflation · price rise over a year | 5% | 0 up to 3%, 15 from 30% | 1.1/15 |
| Spread over Germany · extra cost of borrowing over 10 years, a sign of lender confidence | euro area only: not counted for this country | 0 up to 0.5 pt, 20 from 3 pts | — |
| Protests and strikes · in the news over the last 7 days | 0 events in our briefings GDELT: too little data | average of two measures: our briefings (1 event = 6 points, 5 or more = 20) and the share of protests in GDELT (0 up to 2%, 20 from 10%) | 0/20 |
In short: what weighs most is unemployment. Not weighing: public debt, growth and protests.
Where the data comes from: IMF, World Economic Outlook (2026 forecasts): debt, deficit, growth, inflation, unemployment · ECB, 10-year government bond yields (October 2026), euro area only · GDELT Project (protest events, 7 days) · Horizon briefings of the last 7 days.
Score calculated on 6 of 7 criteria: the points obtained are scaled to 100.
30 October 2026 World
An Italian helicopter of the European Force in Bosnia crashed Thursday in Brcko, in the northeast of the country. Four people died and twelve were injured. EUFOR refers to a CH-47 Chinook and confirms the death of four Italian nationals.
5 October 2026 Geopolitics
In general elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina, Serbian and Croat nationalist parties gained ground. Milorad Dodik claimed victory for his party.
4 October 2026 Geopolitics
Bosnian voters vote Sunday in a country still deeply divided between Bosniaks, Serbs and Croats. Confidence in parties is eroding, their promises remaining vague.
Today's risk score, highest first.
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