7 October 2026 World
Nobel Prize in Physics for 'ghost particles'
Belgian physicist Francis Halzen received the Nobel Prize in Physics for his pioneering work on an observatory that detects particles from space.
Overall score
21/100
Calm
- Over 7 days
- ▼ −1
- Since 23 Oct.
- ▼ −1
- Rank
- 53rd of 193 countries tied
- Updated
- 7 Nov.
No particular danger for a visitor, and an economic and social situation without notable strain.
Safety 23 + Economy 19 ÷ 2 = 21
The overall score is the average of the two detailed scores below. Each score runs from 0 (nothing to report) to 100 (extreme situation): calm under 30, tension from 30 to 59, crisis from 60. The calculation is fixed and the same for every country: no AI gives its opinion.
Safety on the ground
23/100 CalmWhat it measures: the danger for someone travelling to the country right now (crime, terrorism, unrest, disasters, epidemics).
What it does not measure: the state of the economy, daily life for residents or long-term political stability.
| Criterion | Today | Scale | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Canadian and US travel advisories | “Exercise a high degree of caution” · United States: level 2 of 4 | average of both advisories, from 0 (normal precautions) to 70 (do not travel) | 23.3/70 |
| Ongoing disaster (GDACS) | no alert | orange alert 8, red 15 | 0 |
| Reported epidemic (WHO, 30 days) | none | common disease 6, severe disease 10 | 0 |
| Internet outage (IODA) | none | outage 5, major outage 8 | 0 |
| In today's news | not cited | World 2, Geopolitics 4 | 0 |
In short: the score comes from travel advisories (23.3 points out of 70); no ongoing event adds to it.
Where the data comes from: Global Affairs Canada (travel advice) · US Department of State (travel advisories) · GDACS (UN and EU disaster alerts) · WHO (Disease Outbreak News, 30 days) · IODA, Georgia Tech (internet outages) · Horizon briefing of the day.
Score based on advisories written for foreign travellers: it does not describe everyday life there.
Economy and society
19/100 CalmWhat it measures: how fragile the country is: public finances, jobs, prices, lender confidence and protest in the streets.
What it does not measure: the danger for a visitor, nor the future: it is neither a forecast nor financial advice.
| Criterion | Value | Scale | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Public debt · what the state owes, relative to a year of output | 109.8% of GDP | 0 up to 60% of GDP, 15 from 150% of GDP | 8.3/15 |
| Budget deficit · what the state spends beyond its revenue | −5.3% of GDP | 0 from −3% of GDP, 10 at −8% of GDP or below | 4.6/10 |
| Growth · increase in output | 0.7% | 0 from 2%, 10 at −2% or below | 3.2/10 |
| Unemployment · share of the labour force without a job | 6.2% | 0 up to 5%, 10 from 15% | 1.2/10 |
| Inflation · price rise over a year | 3.8% | 0 up to 3%, 15 from 30% | 0.4/15 |
| Spread over Germany · extra cost of borrowing over 10 years, a sign of lender confidence | 0.65 pt 4.12% against 3.47% for Germany | 0 up to 0.5 pt, 20 from 3 pts | 1.2/20 |
| Protests and strikes · in the news over the last 7 days | 0 events in our briefings 1.7% of GDELT events | average of two measures: our briefings (1 event = 6 points, 5 or more = 20) and the share of protests in GDELT (0 up to 2%, 20 from 10%) | 0/20 |
In short: what weighs most is high debt, budget deficit and weak growth. Not weighing: protests.
Where the data comes from: IMF, World Economic Outlook (2026 forecasts): debt, deficit, growth, inflation, unemployment · ECB, 10-year government bond yields (September 2026), euro area only · GDELT Project (protest events, 7 days) · Horizon briefings of the last 7 days.
Scores over time
In the news
October 2026 1 event
September 2026 2 events
24 September 2026 Geopolitics Rwanda
Diplomatic reconciliation between Rwanda and Belgium
Brussels and Kigali announced the restoration of their diplomatic relations, eighteen months after a rupture decided by Rwanda which accused Belgium in the context of the war in the DRC.
23 September 2026 Geopolitics Rwanda
Rwanda and Belgium restore diplomatic relations
Kigali and Brussels announced the restoration of their diplomatic relations, broken by Rwanda in March 2025 due to the conflict in the Democratic Republic of Congo, with Kigali then accusing Belgium of taking Kinshasa's side.
Other countries: Europe
Today's risk score, highest first.
Russia 76Belarus 70Ukraine 70Spain 25Bosnia and Herzegovina 23Denmark 23France 23Germany 23Italy 23Moldova 23Netherlands 23Sweden 23United Kingdom 23Albania 12Kosovo 12Serbia 12Ireland 2Slovenia 2Austria 0Bulgaria 0Croatia 0Cyprus 0Czechia 0Estonia 0Finland 0Greece 0Hungary 0Iceland 0Latvia 0Lithuania 0Luxembourg 0Malta 0Norway 0Poland 0Portugal 0Romania 0Slovakia 0Switzerland 0Vatican City
Cite or embed this data
You can reuse this index on your website, blog or in your work, as long as you credit Horizon.
Badge preview (updated daily)
Paste this code into your page: the badge will always show today's score, with a link to Horizon.
Free to reuse, including commercially, crediting Horizon (CC BY 4.0). Full history to download: open data.