13 September 2026 World
Forest fire on the Croatian island of Brac
A forest fire broke out on the island of Brac, on the Dalmatian coast in Croatia, prompting authorities to issue an emergency alert.
Overall score
0/100
Calm
- Since 23 Oct.
- = stable
- Rank
- 182nd of 193 countries tied
- Updated
- 28 Oct.
No particular danger for a visitor, and an economic and social situation without notable strain.
Safety 0 + Economy 1 ÷ 2 = 0
The overall score is the average of the two detailed scores below. Each score runs from 0 (nothing to report) to 100 (extreme situation): calm under 30, tension from 30 to 59, crisis from 60. The calculation is fixed and the same for every country: no AI gives its opinion.
Safety on the ground
0/100 CalmWhat it measures: the danger for someone travelling to the country right now (crime, terrorism, unrest, disasters, epidemics).
What it does not measure: the state of the economy, daily life for residents or long-term political stability.
| Criterion | Today | Scale | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Canadian and US travel advisories | “Exercise normal security precautions” · United States: level 1 of 4 | average of both advisories, from 0 (normal precautions) to 70 (do not travel) | 0/70 |
| Ongoing disaster (GDACS) | no alert | orange alert 8, red 15 | 0 |
| Reported epidemic (WHO, 30 days) | none | common disease 6, severe disease 10 | 0 |
| Internet outage (IODA) | none | outage 5, major outage 8 | 0 |
| In today's news | not cited | World 2, Geopolitics 4 | 0 |
In short: the score comes from travel advisories (0 points out of 70); no ongoing event adds to it.
Where the data comes from: Global Affairs Canada (travel advice) · US Department of State (travel advisories) · GDACS (UN and EU disaster alerts) · WHO (Disease Outbreak News, 30 days) · IODA, Georgia Tech (internet outages) · Horizon briefing of the day.
Score based on advisories written for foreign travellers: it does not describe everyday life there.
Economy and society
1/100 CalmWhat it measures: how fragile the country is: public finances, jobs, prices, lender confidence and protest in the streets.
What it does not measure: the danger for a visitor, nor the future: it is neither a forecast nor financial advice.
| Criterion | Value | Scale | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Public debt · what the state owes, relative to a year of output | 56.3% of GDP | 0 up to 60% of GDP, 15 from 150% of GDP | 0/15 |
| Budget deficit · what the state spends beyond its revenue | −2.9% of GDP | 0 from −3% of GDP, 10 at −8% of GDP or below | 0/10 |
| Growth · increase in output | 2.2% | 0 from 2%, 10 at −2% or below | 0/10 |
| Unemployment · share of the labour force without a job | 4.5% | 0 up to 5%, 10 from 15% | 0/10 |
| Inflation · price rise over a year | 4.5% | 0 up to 3%, 15 from 30% | 0.8/15 |
| Spread over Germany · extra cost of borrowing over 10 years, a sign of lender confidence | 0.12 pt 3.59% against 3.47% for Germany | 0 up to 0.5 pt, 20 from 3 pts | 0/20 |
| Protests and strikes · in the news over the last 7 days | 0 events in our briefings GDELT: too little data | average of two measures: our briefings (1 event = 6 points, 5 or more = 20) and the share of protests in GDELT (0 up to 2%, 20 from 10%) | 0/20 |
In short: what weighs most is no criterion in particular. Not weighing: public debt, deficit, growth, unemployment, borrowing costs and protests.
Where the data comes from: IMF, World Economic Outlook (2026 forecasts): debt, deficit, growth, inflation, unemployment · ECB, 10-year government bond yields (September 2026), euro area only · GDELT Project (protest events, 7 days) · Horizon briefings of the last 7 days.
Scores over time
Score published since 23 October 2026: the chart fills in day by day.
Other countries: Europe
Today's risk score, highest first.
Russia 76Ukraine 72Belarus 70Netherlands 31Belgium 23Bosnia and Herzegovina 23Denmark 23France 23Germany 23Italy 23Moldova 23Spain 23Sweden 23United Kingdom 23Serbia 16Albania 12Kosovo 12Finland 4Norway 4Austria 0Bulgaria 0Cyprus 0Czechia 0Estonia 0Greece 0Hungary 0Iceland 0Ireland 0Latvia 0Lithuania 0Luxembourg 0Malta 0Poland 0Portugal 0Romania 0Slovakia 0Slovenia 0Switzerland 0Vatican City
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