8 events over the last 58 published days.
Increased caution is advised for visitors, but an economic and social situation without notable strain.
Safety 35 + Economy 15 ÷ 2 = 25
The overall score is the average of the two detailed scores below. Each score runs from 0 (nothing to report) to 100 (extreme situation): calm under 30, tension from 30 to 59, crisis from 60. The calculation is fixed and the same for every country: no AI gives its opinion.
What it measures: the danger for someone travelling to the country right now (crime, terrorism, unrest, disasters, epidemics).
What it does not measure: the state of the economy, daily life for residents or long-term political stability.
| Criterion | Today | Scale | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Canadian and US travel advisories | “Exercise a high degree of caution (with regional advisories)” · United States: level 3 of 4 | average of both advisories, from 0 (normal precautions) to 70 (do not travel) | 35/70 |
| Ongoing disaster (GDACS) | no alert | orange alert 8, red 15 | 0 |
| Reported epidemic (WHO, 30 days) | none | common disease 6, severe disease 10 | 0 |
| Internet outage (IODA) | none | outage 5, major outage 8 | 0 |
| In today's news | not cited | World 2, Geopolitics 4 | 0 |
In short: the score comes from travel advisories (35 points out of 70); no ongoing event adds to it.
Where the data comes from: Global Affairs Canada (travel advice) · US Department of State (travel advisories) · GDACS (UN and EU disaster alerts) · WHO (Disease Outbreak News, 30 days) · IODA, Georgia Tech (internet outages) · Horizon briefing of the day.
Score based on advisories written for foreign travellers: it does not describe everyday life there.
What it measures: how fragile the country is: public finances, jobs, prices, lender confidence and protest in the streets.
What it does not measure: the danger for a visitor, nor the future: it is neither a forecast nor financial advice.
| Criterion | Value | Scale | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Public debt · what the state owes, relative to a year of output | 32.8% of GDP | 0 up to 60% of GDP, 15 from 150% of GDP | 0/15 |
| Budget deficit · what the state spends beyond its revenue | 1.5% of GDP | 0 from −3% of GDP, 10 at −8% of GDP or below | 0/10 |
| Growth · increase in output | −3.9% | 0 from 2%, 10 at −2% or below | 10/10 |
| Unemployment · share of the labour force without a job | not available for this country | 0 up to 5%, 10 from 15% | — |
| Inflation · price rise over a year | 4.5% | 0 up to 3%, 15 from 30% | 0.8/15 |
| Spread over Germany · extra cost of borrowing over 10 years, a sign of lender confidence | euro area only: not counted for this country | 0 up to 0.5 pt, 20 from 3 pts | — |
| Protests and strikes · in the news over the last 7 days | 0 events in our briefings 0.3% of GDELT events | average of two measures: our briefings (1 event = 6 points, 5 or more = 20) and the share of protests in GDELT (0 up to 2%, 20 from 10%) | 0/20 |
In short: what weighs most is weak growth. Not weighing: public debt, deficit and protests.
Where the data comes from: IMF, World Economic Outlook (2026 forecasts): debt, deficit, growth, inflation, unemployment · ECB, 10-year government bond yields (September 2026), euro area only · GDELT Project (protest events, 7 days) · Horizon briefings of the last 7 days.
Score calculated on 5 of 7 criteria: the points obtained are scaled to 100.
Score published since 23 October 2026: the chart fills in day by day.
This country in the news web (3D) →
24 October 2026 World
An oil slick extends for kilometers along the coast of the United Arab Emirates, according to satellite images. Beaches have been closed. A ship reportedly hit a naval mine in early October.
18 October 2026 Geopolitics Iran
Iran states that two tankers, each carrying approximately two million barrels of crude, caught fire after hitting mines in the Strait of Hormuz. According to the Revolutionary Guards, they had taken an unauthorized route. Fires are also reported on three ships off the United Arab Emirates and Yemen.
10 October 2026 Geopolitics Israel
According to the Attorney General of the United Arab Emirates, the copilot of the diverted Flydubai flight was planning a suicide attack against Ben Gurion airport in Tel-Aviv, drawing inspiration from September 11, 2001. His drift toward extremism reportedly began in Australia.
4 October 2026 Geopolitics Oman
The investigation established that the Omani copilot of the Dubai-Tel Aviv flight used the cockpit emergency axe to attack the pilot, and speaks of a "terrorist act". The UAE Attorney General confirmed the attempt. Oman Air had banned him from flying for his "radical ideological opinions". Australian authorities are investigating his links to Australia.
2 October 2026 World Israel
A copilot on Flydubai flight FZ1073 stabbed the captain, causing a drop of approximately 14,000 feet in less than 30 seconds. Passengers intervened and the plane was able to land. Benyamin Netanyahu evokes Islamic radicalization, Donald Trump a possible link with Iran, and the copilot was transferred to the United Arab Emirates.
29 September 2026 Geopolitics Israel
Israeli Prime Minister Benyamin Netanyahu was received by the Emirati president shortly after a controversy over ignored warnings before the October 7 attacks. According to Israeli media, he asked Mohammed Ben Zayed to deny having warned him before the attacks.
11 September 2026 Markets Germany
The United Arab Emirates will invest a total of 40 billion euros in Germany, notably in advanced digital infrastructure and the development of new data centers.
11 September 2026 Geopolitics Algeria
On September 10, the Algerian Ministry of Foreign Affairs announced the breaking of its diplomatic relations with Abu Dhabi. Algiers accuses the Emirates of supporting politico-military forces considered a strategic threat, from Sudan to Mali via Niger and Libya.
Today's risk score, highest first.
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