6 events over the last 60 published days.
No particular danger for a visitor, and an economic and social situation without notable strain.
Safety 25 + Economy 23 ÷ 2 = 24
The overall score is the average of the two detailed scores below. Each score runs from 0 (nothing to report) to 100 (extreme situation): calm under 30, tension from 30 to 59, crisis from 60. The calculation is fixed and the same for every country: no AI gives its opinion.
What it measures: the danger for someone travelling to the country right now (crime, terrorism, unrest, disasters, epidemics).
What it does not measure: the state of the economy, daily life for residents or long-term political stability.
| Criterion | Today | Scale | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Canadian and US travel advisories | “Exercise a high degree of caution (with regional advisories)” · United States: level 2 of 4 | average of both advisories, from 0 (normal precautions) to 70 (do not travel) | 23.3/70 |
| Ongoing disaster (GDACS) | no alert | orange alert 8, red 15 | 0 |
| Reported epidemic (WHO, 30 days) | none | common disease 6, severe disease 10 | 0 |
| Internet outage (IODA) | none | outage 5, major outage 8 | 0 |
| In today's news | In today's World news | World 2, Geopolitics 4 | 2 |
In short: the score comes from travel advisories (23.3 points out of 70); added on top: In today's World news (+2).
Where the data comes from: Global Affairs Canada (travel advice) · US Department of State (travel advisories) · GDACS (UN and EU disaster alerts) · WHO (Disease Outbreak News, 30 days) · IODA, Georgia Tech (internet outages) · Horizon briefing of the day.
Score based on advisories written for foreign travellers: it does not describe everyday life there.
What it measures: how fragile the country is: public finances, jobs, prices, lender confidence and protest in the streets.
What it does not measure: the danger for a visitor, nor the future: it is neither a forecast nor financial advice.
| Criterion | Value | Scale | Points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Public debt · what the state owes, relative to a year of output | 22.5% of GDP | 0 up to 60% of GDP, 15 from 150% of GDP | 0/15 |
| Budget deficit · what the state spends beyond its revenue | −3.1% of GDP | 0 from −3% of GDP, 10 at −8% of GDP or below | 0.2/10 |
| Growth · increase in output | 2.7% | 0 from 2%, 10 at −2% or below | 0/10 |
| Unemployment · share of the labour force without a job | 8.2% | 0 up to 5%, 10 from 15% | 3.2/10 |
| Inflation · price rise over a year | 31.2% | 0 up to 3%, 15 from 30% | 15/15 |
| Spread over Germany · extra cost of borrowing over 10 years, a sign of lender confidence | euro area only: not counted for this country | 0 up to 0.5 pt, 20 from 3 pts | — |
| Protests and strikes · in the news over the last 7 days | 0 events in our briefings 0.6% of GDELT events | average of two measures: our briefings (1 event = 6 points, 5 or more = 20) and the share of protests in GDELT (0 up to 2%, 20 from 10%) | 0/20 |
In short: what weighs most is inflation and unemployment. Not weighing: public debt, growth and protests.
Where the data comes from: IMF, World Economic Outlook (2026 forecasts): debt, deficit, growth, inflation, unemployment · ECB, 10-year government bond yields (September 2026), euro area only · GDELT Project (protest events, 7 days) · Horizon briefings of the last 7 days.
Score calculated on 6 of 7 criteria: the points obtained are scaled to 100.
This country in the news web (3D) →
9 November 2026 World
COP31 opens in Antalya and is to bring together more than 100,000 people for two weeks. Turkey wants to place electrification at the top of the climate agenda, with a target of 35% of global energy demand by 2035. The energy crisis linked to the war in the Middle East weighs on discussions.
22 October 2026 Geopolitics Libya
Libya's two rival governments are backing Turkey on a maritime agreement, in a context of tensions in the Mediterranean. The rallying of Marshal Haftar's faction is noted.
22 October 2026 Geopolitics Pakistan
Pakistan, Turkey, Qatar and Indonesia have signed a pact to strengthen their defence cooperation. It comes a few months after the Mecca defence agreement signed in August by Pakistan, Saudi Arabia and Turkey.
21 October 2026 Geopolitics Libya
The parliament based in Benghazi voted on a Turkish-Libyan agreement delimiting exclusive economic zones. This agreement is expected to provoke friction with Egypt and Greece, which oppose it.
19 October 2026 Markets Russia
Ankara says it wants to capture part of the diesel cargoes that Moscow plans to return to the global market following an agreement between Washington and Moscow. The issue is important for a country highly dependent on energy imports.
15 October 2026 World
Torrential rains caused flash floods in Istanbul, Turkey's largest city. Roads collapsed, hospitals flooded, schools closed and traffic stopped. A teenager died.
Today's risk score, highest first.
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