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Iran

21 events over the last 51 published days.

Illustration : Tehran (Iran)
Illustration : Tehran (Iran)Amir Pashaei · CC BY-SA 4.0 · Wikimedia Commons
Risk index
74/100
Crisis
Over 7 days
= stable
Over 30 days
= stable
Rank
4th of 231 countries tied
Updated
18 Oct.

Travel advisories 70/70
Canada: Avoid all travel · United States: level 4 of 4

Right now 4/30
In today's Geopolitics +4

Score over time

Value: — (tap or hover a point)

Score based on advisories written for foreign travellers: it does not describe everyday life there. All countries on the map →

Converging signals this week

2 independent sources point to this country in the last 7 briefings.

Background : travel advisory: do not travel

All of this week's links →

This country in the news web (3D) →

In the news

Days in the newsMentioned on 18 of 51 days
29 Aug.18 Oct.

October 2026 7 events

18 October 2026 Geopolitics United Arab Emirates

Two tankers catch fire after hitting mines in the Strait of Hormuz

Iran states that two tankers, each carrying approximately two million barrels of crude, caught fire after hitting mines in the Strait of Hormuz. According to the Revolutionary Guards, they had taken an unauthorized route. Fires are also reported on three ships off the United Arab Emirates and Yemen.

16 October 2026 Geopolitics

Strait of Hormuz: ship attacks reach record

According to BBC Verify analysis, based on data from a British maritime agency, twelve ships were struck in one week near Hormuz. Oil exports are slowing.

16 October 2026 Geopolitics United States

Iran: Washington may consider largest non-nuclear bomb

According to CNN, the United States is considering using against Iran the bomb nicknamed "the mother of all bombs". Donald Trump judges the sending of ground troops to Iran unlikely. Diplomatic efforts to end the conflict, triggered in February by American-Israeli strikes, have been at an impasse since summer.

11 October 2026 Geopolitics

United States neutralizes cargo ship near Iran

American forces neutralized in the Gulf of Oman a cargo ship attempting to break the blockade of Iran, by striking its stern without injuring the crew, according to CENTCOM.

7 October 2026 Geopolitics United States

Trump suggests Iran 'take' Los Angeles and San Diego

A remark by Donald Trump about cities that could be sacrificed in war with Iran sparked outrage from Democrats and Republicans. The White House says the president was warning against the risk of a nuclear Iran.

2 October 2026 Geopolitics United States

Washington strengthens its military deployment around Iran

An American official indicates that the United States will send a third aircraft carrier toward Iran. The deployment includes 50,000 military personnel, F-35s and Marines, including 2,000 additional troops sent to the Middle East.

1 October 2026 Geopolitics United Kingdom

London suspects Iran in an attack plot at Fairford

British Prime Minister Andy Burnham says he has 'solid indications' that Iran is involved in a suspected attack plot against RAF Fairford air base, used by Americans. Three white vans appeared to be heading there. Tehran angrily denies.

September 2026 14 events

30 September 2026 Geopolitics Qatar

Iran and United States: return to a confidence-building plan

Iran received, via Qatari mediators in Doha, American reactions to a plan to restore confidence in seven days. The order of steps remains the main sticking point.

29 September 2026 Geopolitics United States

Tense negotiations between Iran and United States via mediators

Iran met with Qatari mediators while Washington demands discussions on Iranian nuclear issues. Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi awaits a response on the plan concerning the Strait of Hormuz, and Donald Trump denied having proposed sanctions relief to Tehran.

28 September 2026 Geopolitics United States

US sanctions further isolate Iran

New American sanctions against Iranian airlines complicate international travel, pushing Iranian authorities to close the French Language Center in Tehran. The US Treasury welcomes restrictions adopted by several countries.

28 September 2026 Geopolitics United States

Washington rejects Iranian peace plan on Hormuz

Donald Trump rejected the plan submitted by Tehran aimed at reopening the Strait of Hormuz within seven days and resuming negotiations. Iran responds that it will not back down, while its foreign minister evokes a possible 'apocalyptic war' while saying he is open to 'genuine diplomacy'.

27 September 2026 Geopolitics United States

Trump rejects Iranian plan for Strait of Hormuz

Iran had proposed reopening the Strait of Hormuz within seven days in exchange for lifting sanctions and halting hostilities, but Donald Trump categorically rejected this offer, stating that Tehran was losing the war. Iran responded that it would not back down on its conditions and President Pezeshkian stated he no longer trusts discussions with Washington.

24 September 2026 Geopolitics United States

Iranian president responds to Trump at the UN

Iranian President Massoud Pezeshkian stated before the UN General Assembly that Iran had been a 'victim of terrorism', in response to Donald Trump's threats to 'annihilate' Iran. The American delegation left the room during his speech.

23 September 2026 Geopolitics United States

Trump threatens Iran with annihilation then engages in talks

Before the UN, Donald Trump threatened to annihilate Iran while suggesting that a deal remained possible. US and Iranian officials then met in New York, a first since the collapse of the ceasefire in June, discussing notably the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz.

18 September 2026 Geopolitics United States

United States grants visas to Iranian officials for the UN

The American administration approved visas for Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian and Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi so they can attend the UN General Assembly in New York, despite more than six months of conflict between Iran and the United States. At the same time, a visa was again denied to Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas.

15 September 2026 Geopolitics United States

American ammunition shortage acknowledged after war with Iran

The Pentagon acknowledged for the first time, in a report published Monday, an ammunition shortage linked to seven months of conflict against Iran, while the Trump administration claimed to have nearly unlimited stocks.

14 September 2026 Geopolitics

Postponement of Iran-Gulf discussions on the Strait of Hormuz

A meeting scheduled for Monday between Iran and Gulf countries to discuss the Strait of Hormuz has been postponed, according to Oman, "in the interest of consensus". Donald Trump stated he "didn't care". The strait remains at the heart of tensions between Washington and Tehran.

13 September 2026 Geopolitics

Deadly strike near the Strait of Hormuz on an Iranian vessel

An Iranian merchant ship was struck near the Strait of Hormuz on Sunday, killing one person and wounding three according to Iranian authorities, who did not specify the origin of the attack. The U.S. military states it has redirected around one hundred ships over two months as part of its blockade targeting Iran.

10 September 2026 Geopolitics

Iran referred to the UN Security Council

The International Atomic Energy Agency has referred the United Nations Security Council, for the first time in twenty years, due to Tehran's refusal to allow inspections of its most sensitive nuclear sites since their bombardment by Israel. Western officials believe that traces found could indicate a secret military programme until 2003.

10 September 2026 Geopolitics Jordan

Iran strikes ships and an American base in Jordan

After the destruction by the United States of five Iranian tankers on Tuesday, the Iranian Revolutionary Guards fired ballistic missiles at an American military base in Jordan and attacked around ten ships attempting to cross the Strait of Hormuz. Brent crude surpassed 100 dollars for the first time since July 2024.

9 September 2026 Geopolitics Jordan

Direct military escalation between the United States and Iran

The US military claims to have destroyed five Iranian oil tankers near the Strait of Hormuz, in addition to three previously destroyed. In retaliation, Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps struck a US military base in Jordan and targeted around twenty vessels, including oil tankers, in the Gulf. Jordan claims to have intercepted a barrage of Iranian ballistic missiles.

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