Monday 26 October 2026
Briefing for 26 October 2026. Storms Boelo and Austen strike northern Europe. Markets: Bitcoin $79,905 · VIX 19.66 · CAC 40 7,783 · Brent $110.19 · S&P 500 7,624 · Hang Seng 23,200
Storms Boelo and Austen strike northern Europe and cut electricity to 150,000 homes; elsewhere, a deadly attack on a Nigerian village and an attack on health workers fighting Ebola in DR Congo.
Storms Boelo and Austen killed one person in Scotland and cut electricity to around 150,000 homes in the United Kingdom, France and Germany. A flood alert is in effect in Scotland, and dozens of flights have been cancelled at Amsterdam airport.
Disruptions are affecting several European countries at once: power grid, air transport and flood risk.
Armed men on motorcycles attacked an isolated village in Nigeria on Friday, looting shops and setting houses on fire. According to police, the death toll now stands at 48.
It is one of the deadliest attacks of this type in the period, and the toll has risen since initial figures.
In eastern DR Congo, assailants killed a nurse and wounded a health worker who was intervening in an Ebola case. This attack adds to others targeting health workers engaged in fighting the epidemic.
Violence against health teams is complicating the response to a deadly epidemic.
Three men were arrested after an attack carried out Friday by armed men against an Orthodox church in the village of Hammoud, in southern Jordan. The latest toll stands at nine dead; the three suspects were wounded in a dawn shootout.
The attack is unprecedented against Christians in the kingdom.
A coach left a narrow, winding road near Barcelona before falling down a 20-metre embankment. Rescue services report 83 injured, including 7 seriously.
The number of injured makes this a serious road accident.
Lula is re-elected in Brazil and Aleksandar Vucic loses the legislative elections in Serbia, while strikes continue in Ukraine and Houthis target Riyadh airport again.
Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva won the second round of the presidential election with 51.8% of the vote against Flavio Bolsonaro, for a fourth term. Flavio Bolsonaro refuses to acknowledge the victory and announces he will seek to annul the election, after a two-hour extension of voting decided by a Supreme Court judge.
Lula wins after losing in the first round; contestation of the result and lack of a majority in Congress make the new term difficult.
Aleksandar Vucic, who has dominated Serbian politics for fourteen years, has acknowledged his defeat in snap legislative elections to the student movement. The movement had led protests for nearly two years, following the collapse of a canopy at Novi Sad railway station that killed 16.
The country will experience major democratic change after fourteen years of rule by the same leader.
Venezuelan opposition leader and Nobel Peace Prize winner Maria Corina Machado has returned to Venezuela after nearly a year in exile and several attempted returns. She left the country a month before the United States captured president Nicolás Maduro, and interim president Delcy Rodriguez has, to date, called no elections.
The return of the opposition leader revives the question of democratic transition in Venezuela.
More than 7 million Israelis will vote on 27 October to elect the 120 deputies of the Knesset. Polls show Benjamin Netanyahu and his rival Gadi Eisenkot neck and neck, and tens of thousands of Israelis abroad are returning to vote.
The election comes after three years of regional war, and security and democracy are the central issues.
Algerian deputies and senators approved on Sunday the deployment of military units of the Algerian army to Niger. This decision ends more than six decades of doctrine of non-intervention outside the country's borders.
It is a break in Algeria's defence policy.
According to the Palestinian Authority, over 2,670 Palestinians have been forcibly displaced in Hebron by the Israeli army. On Sunday, Israeli soldiers remained deployed in the streets of the largest city in occupied Palestinian territory.
The number of people displaced makes it one of the largest recent displacements in the West Bank.
The Saudi-led coalition says it intercepted a ballistic missile fired by Houthi forces from Yemen, who claim a new attack on Riyadh airport. An attack this month on the airport killed 13 and wounded over 300.
The intensification of the conflict between Houthis and Saudi Arabia now directly threatens civilian infrastructure.
Russian strikes wounded at least six people in the Chernihiv and Zaporizhia regions. Moscow says it struck electrical substations in Kharkiv and in Khmelnytskiy oblast. Volodymyr Zelensky says Kyiv will not stop targeting Russian refineries unless Moscow stops striking the power grid.
The war continues to target the energy networks of both sides.
European and American markets are slightly down, Brent falls 6% to 109.62 dollars and natural gas jumps 13% to 2.99 dollars; Moody's maintains France's rating.
American rating agency Moody's has maintained France's double A rating, despite budgetary and social tensions. Markets already demand higher returns to finance French debt.
The rating partly determines the cost at which the French state borrows, in a tense budgetary and social context.
A decree setting the economic conditions for the release of strategic diesel stocks was published on Saturday. The government expects it to lower the price of diesel by 12 to 18 cents.
The measure directly targets the price of fuel paid by households and businesses.
Audi plans to build its first American factory, a 4.2 billion dollar investment. The project would create 4,500 jobs in Georgia, and Donald Trump announced it at a campaign rally.
The Volkswagen group is investing in the United States while cutting jobs at home, in a context of American tariffs and Chinese competition.
Several Japanese companies are compensating customers after a wave of cyberattacks that disrupted internet services. GMO Internet is paying 5,000 yen to each of its customers, as a first commercial gesture.
The attacks have raised concerns about the country's economic stability.
Confidential banking documents show that loans from the Industrial and Commercial Bank of China contributed to financially strangling Zambia.
The investigation sheds light on the mechanisms that led the African country to over-indebtedness.
SoftBank plans to invest 50 billion dollars in artificial intelligence in Malaysia, according to the Malaysian prime minister.
It is a very significant financial commitment in AI in Southeast Asia.
Last close recorded for the briefing of 26 October 2026 (crypto: price at publication time, in US dollars). Information only, not financial advice. All markets and charts →
Deterministic data, calculated by threshold or taken as-is from official sources — never judged by the model.
| Value | Close | Change |
|---|---|---|
| CAC 40 | 7,782.82 | ↓ -0.36 % |
| DAX | 25,181.65 | ↓ -0.75 % |
| FTSE 100 | 10,690.36 | ↓ -0.32 % |
| S&P 500 | 7,623.68 | ↓ -0.52 % |
| Nasdaq | 25,955.34 | ↓ -0.21 % |
| Nikkei 225 | 62,189.65 | ↓ -0.80 % |
| Hang Seng | 23,200.08 | ↑ +0.46 % |
| VIX | 19.66 | ↑ +1.08 % |
| Petrole Brent | 110.19 | ↓ -5.59 % |
| Gaz naturel | 3 | ↑ +13.48 % |
| Or | 4,021.7 | ↑ +0.34 % |
| EUR/USD | 1.12 | ↓ -0.09 % |
General, non-personalized information. Does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell.
| Value | Price | 24h change |
|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | 79,905 USD | ↓ -0.81 % |
| Ethereum | 2,312.58 USD | ↓ -1.34 % |
| BNB | 737.4 USD | ↓ -0.99 % |
| Solana | 100.43 USD | ↓ -1.16 % |
| XRP | 1.28 USD | ↓ -1.78 % |
aucun seuil franchi, marchés crypto calmes
General, non-personalized information. Does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell.
A combined reading of traffic through strategic straits and energy prices: two signals of the same possible tension on global supply chains. The more severe of the two prevails.
| Value | Price | Change |
|---|---|---|
| Petrole Brent | 110.19 USD | ↓ -5.59 % |
| Gaz naturel | 3 USD | ↑ +13.48 % |
Gaz naturel en hausse de 13.48 % sur la séance
Daily movement on the consolidated lists of OFAC (US Treasury) and the UN Security Council: the total almost never moves from one day to the next — the signal is the new entries since the last reading.
No new entries since the last reading.
19,471 entries tracked at OFAC (US Treasury) · 1,007 entries tracked at the UN
53 ransomware claim(s) recorded worldwide over the last 48 hours (source: RansomLook). These are claims made by criminal groups on their own leak sites, never independently verified.
mahsing.com.my
scarlettgroup claims to have compromised this organization.
LoveSac
whitearmor claims to have compromised this organization.
WhiteArmor.cc
whitearmor claims to have compromised this organization.
J.B Hunt
whitearmor claims to have compromised this organization.
Glückauf-Vermessung GmbH
payload claims to have compromised this organization.
Miletic GmbH
payload claims to have compromised this organization.
Significant internet outages detected by IODA (Georgia Tech) over the last 48h.
The background to that day's news: public data (conflicts, earthquakes, commodities, agenda). They are not part of the colours or the risk index.
Major central bank decisions and national elections in the following weeks, as known that day.
Israel · Knesset
Bulgaria · President (2nd round)
United States · House of Representatives and Senate
Grenada · Parliament
New Zealand · Parliament
Cape Verde · President
Spain · Senate and Congress of DeputiesSource : Fed, ECB, Wikipedia (electoral calendar)
13,286 estimated deaths · 43 countries
Ukraine
6,202
Yemen
2,924
Pakistan
667
Ethiopia
609
Nigeria
451
Sudan
277
Mexico
262Central estimate, provisional monthly data; change versus the previous month.
193 of magnitude 4.5+ · 9 of 6+
China
22 October · orange alert
Vanuatu
24 OctoberSource : USGS (public domain) ↗
Monthly average world prices in US dollars; indices 2010 = 100.
| Level | 1 month | 1 year | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Energy | 149 | +25.7 % | +70.0 % |
| Food | 124 | +3.8 % | +15.8 % |
| Fertilizers | 147 | +0.4 % | −1.7 % |
| Base metals | 166 | +0.8 % | +35.1 % |
| Precious metals | 339 | −1.9 % | +22.6 % |
| Level | 1 month | 1 year | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brent crude | 117 $/bbl | +28.5 % | +71.8 % |
| Natural gas (Europe) | 25.42 $/MMBtu | +20.4 % | +128.6 % |
| Wheat | 347 $/t | +5.2 % | +48.4 % |
| Maize | 240 $/t | +7.0 % | +21.4 % |
| Rice | 482 $/t | +2.3 % | +28.9 % |
| Cocoa | 5.92 $/kg | −0.5 % | −15.8 % |
| Arabica coffee | 7.26 $/kg | −8.9 % | −17.8 % |
| Copper | 14,474 $/t | +1.0 % | +45.0 % |
| Gold | 4,319 $/oz | −2.1 % | +17.7 % |
Source : World Bank, Pink Sheet (CC BY 4.0) ↗
Democratic Republic of the Congo
Jordan
Serbia
Venezuela
Algeria
Niger
Palestine
Saudi Arabia
France
Japan
Zambia
Malaysia