Sunday 1 November 2026
Briefing for 1 November 2026. Ebola: over 5,000 deaths in DRC. Markets: Bitcoin $77,795 · VIX 19.42 · CAC 40 7,969 · Brent $113.43 · S&P 500 7,580 · Hang Seng 23,294
A deadly Ebola epidemic in DRC, a record cryptocurrency theft attributed to North Korea and the evacuation of civilians from Oleshky dominate the news, while young people protest in Europe against the cost of living.
According to government data, over 5,000 people have died from Ebola in DRC, in the country's deadliest epidemic. Over 10,000 people have contracted the virus.
This is the worst Ebola epidemic DRC has ever experienced, with a very heavy human toll.
Residents of Oleshky, a city in southern Ukraine occupied by Russia, have been reunited with their relatives following their evacuation, carried out by bus or plane via Russia and then Belarus. At least 700 people were evacuated following a humanitarian aid operation. These residents had been deprived of food, water and electricity.
This evacuation ends years of isolation for civilians trapped on the front line.
Over 320,000 people marched on Saturday in France for a third day of mobilization against the cost of living and lack of public services, with clashes with police. In Germany, tens of thousands of young people protested in around thirty cities at the call of the 'Gen Z regelt' movement, with violence and looting reported.
The protest led by young people is spreading to several European countries around the cost of living and education.
The FBI claims that the North Korean hacker group TraderTraitor is behind the largest cryptocurrency theft ever recorded, valued at 6.3 billion dollars, targeting the Binance platform. Binance says it has covered 90% of the losses.
This is the largest cryptocurrency theft ever recorded, attributed to a state.
Bolivia has declared a state of emergency due to the El Niño weather phenomenon. The drought is affecting 78,000 families and has caused the loss of over 75,000 head of livestock. El Niño is expected to peak in late 2026.
The drought is hitting families and livestock hard, and the phenomenon has not yet reached its peak.
The UN is ending its political mission in Somalia, UNSOM, established by the Security Council in 2013 to accompany the transition to democracy and the rule of law after more than two decades of conflict.
The end of this mission marks a turning point in the UN's political presence in Somalia.
UN discussions on biodiversity concluded with new promises to accelerate nature protection, but without clarity on how to finance it.
Without clear financing, nature protection objectives remain difficult to achieve.
American threats of new strikes on Iran, the constitutional court crisis in Poland and the end of the UN mission in Western Sahara mark the day.
Donald Trump stated that the United States could strike 'one or two sites' in Iran, including Mount Kolang near the Natanz nuclear complex, 'in ten minutes'. Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei threatened an immediate and geographically unlimited retaliation. Marco Rubio stated that the United States had not yet decided on new strikes, and the two foreign policy chiefs continue to discuss a diplomatic solution.
The risk of a resumption of war between the United States and Iran remains open despite diplomatic discussions.
Clashes broke out overnight around the Polish Constitutional Court. President Karol Nawrocki refuses to validate the appointment of new judges and went to the institution, in conflict with Prime Minister Donald Tusk. Brussels is calling on him to validate these appointments.
The conflict between the president and the Polish government puts the rule of law at stake in an EU member state.
American and Russian vetoes at the Security Council prevented the renewal of the UN mission in Western Sahara, Minurso, whose mandate ends on October 31 after 35 years on the ground. It was tasked with monitoring the ceasefire between Morocco and the Polisario Front.
No UN force will any longer monitor the ceasefire in this disputed territory.
Western Sahara
A large demonstration by opposition parties, student organizations and the 'cockroach' movement is taking place in Delhi, under riot control measures. It follows a revision of electoral rolls which, according to the opposition, could exclude 130 million voters.
The protest concerns the reliability of the electoral rolls of the world's most populous country.
Two days before the midterm elections on November 3, over 52 million Americans have already voted early. Republicans are in a more difficult situation than expected, and the defeat could be heavier than announced.
The result could change the balance of power in Washington.
The Chinese coast guard conducted patrols in waters east of Taiwan, which it describes as routine. Taiwan denounces harassment of ships by radio and reports Chinese activities near the Pratas Islands.
Beijing is increasing its maritime presence around Taiwan, which fuels tensions in the strait.
Thousands of people protested in Israel calling on the opposition to ally with Arab parties to oust Benjamin Netanyahu. Supporters of the Prime Minister organized a counter-demonstration. Arab parties made major gains in the elections.
The future of Israel's political majority depends on a possible alliance between the opposition and Arab parties.
Wall Street fell sharply in the last session (S&P 500 -1.82%, Nasdaq -2.86%), as did the Nikkei (-2.12%), while Brent remains at 113.43 dollars and gold loses 3.29%.
Fitch has changed France's sovereign rating outlook from stable to negative, after maintaining the rating at A+ in late August. It cites a deterioration in debt dynamics.
This warning comes as the budget debate is open in France.
The American Chamber of Commerce in France indicates that France no longer appears as a stable country in the eyes of American investors, bewildered by political and social tensions. This is reflected in increased caution from parent companies in the United States.
This loss of confidence could weigh on foreign investment in France.
The executive assured that the drop in pump prices, expected after the release of 10 million barrels of diesel, would occur next week.
Fuel prices weigh on the purchasing power of the French, at the heart of current protests.
Pakistani refineries announce a 1,860% increase in profits, described as a windfall linked to the war.
Energy tensions benefit some refiners while weighing on consumers.
Yen bond issuances reach a record 16 billion dollars, as the race to finance artificial intelligence reaches Japan.
AI financing is moving to new debt markets.
Little-known companies specializing in data centers are fueling fears of an AI bubble bursting. Debt held by these centers amounts to tens of billions of pounds.
A reversal in the sector could affect financial markets.
Last close recorded for the briefing of 1 November 2026 (crypto: price at publication time, in US dollars). Information only, not financial advice. All markets and charts →
Deterministic data, calculated by threshold or taken as-is from official sources — never judged by the model.
| Value | Close | Change |
|---|---|---|
| CAC 40 | 7,969.42 | ↓ -0.01 % |
| DAX | 25,818.21 | ↓ -0.85 % |
| FTSE 100 | 10,729.78 | ↑ +0.07 % |
| S&P 500 | 7,580.07 | ↓ -1.82 % |
| Nasdaq | 25,437 | ↓ -2.86 % |
| Nikkei 225 | 63,290.11 | ↓ -2.12 % |
| Hang Seng | 23,294.42 | ↑ +1.46 % |
| VIX | 19.42 | ↑ +12.91 % |
| Petrole Brent | 113.43 | ↓ -1.26 % |
| Gaz naturel | 2.9 | ↓ -1.83 % |
| Or | 3,898.9 | ↓ -3.29 % |
| EUR/USD | 1.12 | ↑ +0.09 % |
General, non-personalized information. Does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell.
| Value | Price | 24h change |
|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin | 77,795 USD | ↑ +0.59 % |
| Ethereum | 2,265.7 USD | ↑ +1.08 % |
| BNB | 704.71 USD | ↑ +0.68 % |
| Solana | 95.35 USD | ↓ -0.29 % |
| XRP | 1.25 USD | ↑ +0.61 % |
aucun seuil franchi, marchés crypto calmes
General, non-personalized information. Does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell.
A combined reading of traffic through strategic straits and energy prices: two signals of the same possible tension on global supply chains. The more severe of the two prevails.
| Value | Price | Change |
|---|---|---|
| Petrole Brent | 113.43 USD | ↓ -1.26 % |
| Gaz naturel | 2.9 USD | ↓ -1.83 % |
Daily movement on the consolidated lists of OFAC (US Treasury) and the UN Security Council: the total almost never moves from one day to the next — the signal is the new entries since the last reading.
No new entries since the last reading.
19,484 entries tracked at OFAC (US Treasury) · 1,007 entries tracked at the UN
64 ransomware claim(s) recorded worldwide over the last 48 hours (source: RansomLook). These are claims made by criminal groups on their own leak sites, never independently verified.
Danser
qilin claims to have compromised this organization.
System Soft
vexy claims to have compromised this organization.
JHAMF Group
vexy claims to have compromised this organization.
Community Medical Center, Falls City Nebraska
qilin claims to have compromised this organization.
Punta Shopping
emperador claims to have compromised this organization.
Kraft Lernen
payload claims to have compromised this organization.
Significant internet outages detected by IODA (Georgia Tech) over the last 48h.
The background to that day's news: public data (conflicts, earthquakes, commodities, agenda). They are not part of the colours or the risk index.
Major central bank decisions and national elections in the following weeks, as known that day.
Bulgaria · President (2nd round)
United States · Senate and House of Representatives
Grenada · Parliament
New Zealand · Parliament
Cape Verde · President
Spain · Senate and Congress of Deputies
Switzerland · Referendums
Gambia · PresidentSource : Fed, ECB, Wikipedia (electoral calendar)
13,286 estimated deaths · 43 countries
Ukraine
6,202
Yemen
2,924
Pakistan
667
Ethiopia
609
Nigeria
451
Sudan
277
Mexico
262Central estimate, provisional monthly data; change versus the previous month.
139 of magnitude 4.5+ · 4 of 6+
Vanuatu
29 October
Japan
31 OctoberVanuatu
28 October
China
25 OctoberSource : USGS (public domain) ↗
Monthly average world prices in US dollars; indices 2010 = 100.
| Level | 1 month | 1 year | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Energy | 149 | +25.7 % | +70.0 % |
| Food | 124 | +3.8 % | +15.8 % |
| Fertilizers | 147 | +0.4 % | −1.7 % |
| Base metals | 166 | +0.8 % | +35.1 % |
| Precious metals | 339 | −1.9 % | +22.6 % |
| Level | 1 month | 1 year | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brent crude | 117 $/bbl | +28.5 % | +71.8 % |
| Natural gas (Europe) | 25.42 $/MMBtu | +20.4 % | +128.6 % |
| Wheat | 347 $/t | +5.2 % | +48.4 % |
| Maize | 240 $/t | +7.0 % | +21.4 % |
| Rice | 482 $/t | +2.3 % | +28.9 % |
| Cocoa | 5.92 $/kg | −0.5 % | −15.8 % |
| Arabica coffee | 7.26 $/kg | −8.9 % | −17.8 % |
| Copper | 14,474 $/t | +1.0 % | +45.0 % |
| Gold | 4,319 $/oz | −2.1 % | +17.7 % |
Source : World Bank, Pink Sheet (CC BY 4.0) ↗
France
Germany
Bolivia
Somalia
Poland
India
Taiwan
Israel